Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Genoa logo
2 - 2
Full-Time
AC Fiorentina logo
Serie A
Italy
/
Serie A
/
Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
vs
AC Fiorentina
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Genoa vs AC Fiorentina Predictions

  • Fiorentina are winless on the road in Serie A, recording three draws and two losses in five away fixtures.
  • Genoa have lost three and drawn two of their five home matches this season.
  • Fiorentina have won three of the last four meetings with Genoa (D1), including a 1-0 away success last season.
New coaches face early test
Relegation-threatened Genoa and AC Fiorentina, who occupy 18th and 20th places in Serie A 2025-2026 respectively, meet in a battle of two sides with just six and four points respectively from ten matches. This is not a Genoa vs AC Fiorentina prediction that should trouble the bookmakers as Fiorentina are priced at 2.89, Genoa are at 2.9 and the draw is 3.09 with all three sides priced so similarly because neither club can be fancied to win. Roberto Murgita took charge of the Grifone on November 1st 2025 and could do with a win on Sunday to kickstart the club’s season. His side have won one, drawn one and lost three of their Serie A matches and were victorious over Sassuolo 1-2 on the road 24 hours ago. Daniele Galloppa took the Fiorentina helm on November 5th 2025 and has not had much more joy with Viola down to just four points after back-to-back defeats at the hands of Inter (3-0 away) and Lecce (0-1 at home). For a comprehensive Genoa vs AC Fiorentina preview, fans will want to consider how both new coaches settle into their systems this early in their tenures.
Fiorentina’s away form is dire
Fiorentina will be desperate to stop the rot and a trip to Genoa, where the hosts are winless after five games (D2, L3), appears to be a decent opportunity to do so. But the bookmakers are not convinced and it may be that the visitors will have to settle for a draw in a cagey game, echoing the uncertainty in our Genoa vs AC Fiorentina prediction. Fiorentina’s average of just 0.40 goals per game on their travels is a big worry for them while they have conceded at a rate of 1.20 per game in Serie A 2025-2026. So their away form is definitely a concern, although Genoa’s defense isn’t great either, having conceded six in five at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Fiorentina are a team that likes to play football and it should be interesting to see how Galloppa’s high-tempo side takes on Genoa’s much more compact style that has seen the hosts sit deep in a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 shape so far this season. This Genoa vs AC Fiorentina prediction is shaped by the Grifone’s prioritisation of defensive solidity and counter-attacking and with Caleb Ekuban their only real outlet in attack, they have not impressed going forward.
Stalemate likely
Moise Kean has two goals in 10 Serie A games in 2025-2026, but is top scorer in the team with Fiorentina managing just six goals in their last five matches. Albert Gudmundsson has chipped in with two of those and could be a threat here, but this game has the feel of a draw about it and with both teams looking to gain momentum in the early season with new coaches, it may have to be settled by a goal. Our Genoa vs AC Fiorentina betting tips also reflect how evenly matched the two sides are right now. Under 2.5 goals at 1.6 looks great value given neither team is much of a threat going forward and this will be a close and nervy game.

Genoa vs AC Fiorentina Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.70
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    AC Fiorentina
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Recent head-to-head shows AC Fiorentina dominated Genoa, winning 3 of the last 4 meetings including a 1-4 result.
    • Genoa has scored 0 goals at home this tournament, so they are very unlikely to produce the scoring needed to win.
    • Genoa conceded 14 goals overall and has a -8 goal difference, leaving defensive weaknesses for AC Fiorentina to exploit.
  • Tipped at
    2.39
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Both teams leak goals: Genoa conceded 14 (1.4 per match) and AC Fiorentina conceded 16 (1.6 per match), favoring more goals.
    • Genoa away fixtures average 2.8 total goals and AC Fiorentina home matches average 3.0, showing many games end with 3+ goals.
    • Recent results contain several multi-goal scorelines (1-4,2-1,0-3,1-2), suggesting matches between them often see multiple goals.
  • Tipped at
    1.73
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Genoa has 0.0% of their home games with both teams scoring and have netted 0 goals at home this tournament.
    • AC Fiorentina have scored only 2 away goals and their away matches show both teams scoring in just 33.33% of cases.
    • In Genoa's recent home games they recorded 0-0 and 0-2 results, indicating Genoa often fail to score at home.

Genoa vs AC Fiorentina Live Stats

Genoa vs AC Fiorentina Live Stats

  • Possession
    40
    60
  • Total Shots
    9
    8
  • Shots On Target
    5
    4
  • Shots Off Target
    3
    1
  • Corners
    3
    7
  • Crosses
    13
    13
  • Yellow Cards
    2
    3
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    15
    20
  • Offsides
    0
    0
  • Fouls Committed
    20
    15
  • Counterattacks
    0
    1
  • GK Saves
    2
    3
  • Goal Kicks
    5
    4
  • Throw Ins
    23
    15
  • Treatments
    1
    0
  • Substitutions
    3
    5
Genoa logo

Last 31 H2H matches

  • 2
    Won
  • 16
    Draw
  • 13
    Won
AC Fiorentina logo

Genoa vs AC Fiorentina Last Matches

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Genoa vs AC Fiorentina Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
15
Team Logo AC Fiorentina
41 38
16
Team Logo Genoa
41 38

Player Statistics

Name
Lorenzo Colombo
7 1 2 0 38 2324
Ruslan Malinovsky
6 3 10 0 34 2237
Leo Oestigard
5 1 7 0 30 2622
Vitinha
5 1 5 0 35 2222
Caleb Ekuban
4 1 0 0 31 996

Serie A Standings

15
The AC Fiorentina logo
AC Fiorentina
38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16
The Genoa logo
Genoa
38 10 11 17 41:51 41
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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