Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
AS Roma logo
4 - 0
Full-Time
AC Fiorentina logo
Serie A
Italy
/
Serie A
/
Stadio Olimpico, Rome

AS Roma
vs
AC Fiorentina
Predictions & Betting Tips

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AS Roma vs AC Fiorentina Predictions

  • Roma have won 3, drawn 1 and lost just 1 of their last five games.
  • Fiorentina have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 Serie A matches.
  • Roma have won 2 of the last 3 Serie A head-to-heads between the clubs and Fiorentina are winless in their last 2 trips to the capital.
Roma set to outgun Viola in the capital
Roma, 6th on 61 points from 34 matches, should outclass AC Fiorentina, 15th on 37 points after the same number of games, in Monday’s late Serie A matchup. This AS Roma vs AC Fiorentina preview notes that this season’s previous meeting between the sides was won 2-1 by the away team six months ago and the Giallorossi will be looking to take a few more points from the Viola in 2026. Roma have won 3, drawn 1 and lost just 1 of their last 5 games, including a comfortable 3-0 home victory over Pisa and a 2-0 away win at Bologna. They are unbeaten in their last 3 at home, taking two wins and a draw. Roma have won 11, drawn 3 and lost just 3 of their 17 home Serie A fixtures in 2025-26, conceding a league-low 0.59 per game. Gian Piero Gasperini, the Roma boss since June 2025, has installed an aggressive, high-pressing system in Rome that is built around overloading the wings, verticality in possession and turning the opposition over high up the field. Donyell Malen is the star man at the forefront of this system, netting 5 times in Roma’s last 5 games, and he can punish Fiorentina on Monday according to our AS Roma vs AC Fiorentina prediction.
Vanoli’s Viola aren’t in the worst shape
Fiorentina, under the new management of Paolo Vanoli since November 2025, have been more disciplined in midfield and better structured defensively than they have for some time. The 4-2-3-1 setup Vanoli employs has seen Fiorentina play a more measured and controlled game, aiming to control possession and avoid the chaos of which they were more fond in recent years. Moise Kean has been in fine form for Fiorentina, scoring 8 goals in 26 Serie A appearances to lead the club’s scoring charts. However, Fiorentina will need to play at their best to outgun Roma and are coming into this game after a pair of disappointing draws in their last 2 outings, 1-1 away at Lecce and a goalless stalemate with Sassuolo. Fiorentina’s away form in Serie A this term doesn’t give cause for optimism either, with 4 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses from 17 trips, a rate of 1.47 goals conceded per game on average. The AS Roma vs AC Fiorentina prediction suggests Roma are clear favorites at 1.69, but the game looks like a potential goal fest with Over 2.5 goals at 1.93 and Both teams to score - No at 1.89 are the recommended AS Roma vs AC Fiorentina betting tips given the high stakes of the game with Roma battling for Europe and Fiorentina for safety.

AS Roma vs AC Fiorentina Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.69
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    AS Roma
    Won
    Explanation
    • AS Roma has conceded only 10 goals at home this season, an average of 0.59 per home match, very tight defensively.
    • AS Roma scores 1.59 goals per home game (27 at home) while AC Fiorentina concedes 1.47 on the road (25 conceded away).
    • In their last 5 head-to-heads AS Roma won 2 and avoided defeat in 4 of those games, giving AS Roma a clear edge.
  • Tipped at
    1.93
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Their last 5 head-to-heads produced 16 total goals, averaging 3.2 goals per game between AS Roma and AC Fiorentina.
    • AC Fiorentina's away fixtures average 2.53 total goals this season, so their road games often see multiple goals.
    • AS Roma's recent five matches averaged 3.0 goals, including a 2-5 loss that pushed their recent goal average up.
  • Tipped at
    1.88
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Won
    Explanation
    • AS Roma has both teams scoring in just 29.41% of their home games this season, so clean sheets are common at home.
    • AS Roma conceded only 10 goals at home (0.59 per match) across the current campaign, showing strong home defence.
    • AC Fiorentina failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches, so shutouts for either side remain a real possibility.

AS Roma vs AC Fiorentina Live Stats

AS Roma vs AC Fiorentina Live Stats

  • Possession
    62
    38
  • Total Shots
    14
    4
  • Shots On Target
    7
    1
  • Shots Off Target
    3
    2
  • Corners
    4
    5
  • Crosses
    10
    17
  • Yellow Cards
    2
    2
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    10
    13
  • Offsides
    1
    0
  • Fouls Committed
    12
    10
  • Counterattacks
    3
    4
  • GK Saves
    1
    3
  • Goal Kicks
    4
    2
  • Throw Ins
    14
    19
  • Treatments
    0
    0
  • Substitutions
    5
    5
AS Roma logo

Last 39 H2H matches

  • 22
    Won
  • 7
    Draw
  • 10
    Won
AC Fiorentina logo

AS Roma vs AC Fiorentina Last Matches

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AS Roma vs AC Fiorentina Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
3
Team Logo AS Roma
59 38
15
Team Logo AC Fiorentina
41 38

Player Statistics

Name
Donyell Malen
14 2 1 0 18 1465
Matias Soule
6 5 1 0 33 2139
Wesley
5 0 6 2 30 2450
Gianluca Mancini
4 2 9 0 36 3058
Lorenzo Pellegrini
4 2 2 0 24 1461

Serie A Standings

3
The AS Roma logo
AS Roma
38 23 4 11 59:31 73
15
The AC Fiorentina logo
AC Fiorentina
38 9 15 14 41:50 42
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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