- Sassuolo have conceded 21 goals in 16 away games in Serie A this season - an average of 1.31 per match.
- ACF Fiorentina have conceded 20 Serie A goals at home this term - an average of 1.25 goals per game.
- Fiorentina have not lost either of their last two home games against Sassuolo.
Viola in top form
Paolo Vanoli has done a pretty good job at AC Fiorentina since taking the reins in November 2025 - the club sit 15th in Serie A with just 36 points from 33 games, but their recent form has been particularly impressive, with three wins, one draw and just one defeat from their last five across all competitions.
The hosts have won each of their last two at home, beating Crystal Palace 2-1 in the UEFA Conference League, and their recent results suggest they’ll have enough to beat Sassuolo on Sunday. The Neroverdi are currently 10th in the table, with 45 points from 33 matches.
Sassuolo claimed a 3-1 win at home to Fiorentina in Serie A four months ago, but recent history is on the hosts’ side, as our AC Fiorentina vs Sassuolo prediction points toward ACF winning three and losing two of their last five clashes. There have been no draws between the pair in their last five Serie A meetings, and Fiorentina have not lost any of their last two home games against Sassuolo.
Sassuolo must get forward
Fabio Grosso has employed a wider, vertical playing style at Sassuolo since taking over in June 2024, and their games have been open affairs, with plenty of pace in the wide areas and a tempo-driven system based on transitions.
ACF, meanwhile, have been more pragmatic and structure-first since Vanoli’s appointment, with compact shapes and controlled transitions the order of the day. In this AC Fiorentina vs Sassuolo preview, this stylistic clash should produce a fairly open game, with Sassuolo expected to create chances and leave gaps on the counter.
Goals at both ends likely
Sassuolo have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five games in all competitions, and their form has been similarly disappointing on the road. Grosso’s side have won five, drawn four and lost seven of their 16 Serie A away games this season, while Fiorentina have won four, drawn six and lost six of their 16 home fixtures.
This AC Fiorentina vs Sassuolo prediction highlights that the 1.68 odds for both teams to score are generous considering Fiorentina’s impressive form, while the 1.91 odds for over 2.5 goals look similarly appealing. The home side are slightly favoured by the early odds, but Sassuolo are no slouches and their visitors have scored two of their last six goals in Serie A, making an away goal likely alongside a home win.
For those interested, our AC Fiorentina vs Sassuolo betting tips suggest that both forwards, Moise Kean and Andrea Pinamonti, could be involved in the action on Sunday.
