- Toronto FC have won one, tied three and lost one of their last five MLS games, drawing their last three including a 1-1 result at home to Columbus Crew.
- CF Montreal have won one, tied two and lost two of their last five league games.
Canadians clash in ‘401 Derby’
The Canadian MLS clubs meet on Saturday in a game that has extra spice for both Toronto FC and CF Montreal as they view each other as a sort of report card for their respective rebuilds to date. This Toronto FC vs CF Montreal prediction is sure to capture the attention of fans looking to assess each team’s progress.
Toronto FC are 25th in MLS 2025 with 24 points from 27 games while CF Montreal are just one place and one point behind in 26th after 28 matches.
Robin Fraser has been in charge of the Red & White since January 2025 and has installed a pragmatic, organized system at the club based around defensive solidity and tactical versatility.
Fraser’s team can switch between a back three or four-defender line and they are always compact with a real emphasis on transition play and the ability to exploit set pieces when in possession.
Djordje Mihailovic is Toronto’s talisman with nine goals in 27 MLS 2025 appearances, but Fraser’s system will have the wide players to push forward and they can change shape to suit the game.
CF Montreal are a very different beast since Marco Donadel took over in March 2025, bringing his high-tempo, direct approach to the team and immediately getting a good response from the players.
The visitors come into this with some energy following last week’s 3-2 home win over Austin FC, which marked a return to a more open, attack-minded system that Donadel’s pressing game should thrive in.
According to our Toronto FC vs CF Montreal preview, Prince Osei Owusu has been a revelation in 2025 with 12 MLS 2025 goals in 28 appearances and he has two in the last five, making him the talisman of Montreal’s direct system as well as a threat in transition.
Toronto can just edge it at 2.00
With each team coming into the 401 Derby with a mixture of good and bad results recently, the odds look about right with Toronto available at a shade of even money to win and Montreal 3.50 outsiders. This Toronto FC vs CF Montreal betting tips section highlights some interesting angles for punters.
The Toronto club have drawn their last three, with a 0-0 away draw last time out, while CF Montreal have lost their only road game in the past few weeks.
The head-to-head record is split with Toronto winning three and Montreal two of the five most recent meetings, but with so much recent drama in this Canadian rivalry, a close match should be expected.
The Both Teams to Score: Yes market at 1.53 looks overpriced, given the vulnerability of both sides defensively and the attacking intent Fraser and Donadel bring to this game. The Toronto FC vs CF Montreal prediction remains that a Toronto FC win looks the most likely outcome because their home form has been the more consistent with two wins, five ties and seven defeats in 14 matches at BMO Field.
