- CF Montreal average 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per match at home in MLS 2026.
- Toronto FC have conceded 11 goals in 5 away games in MLS 2026, an average of 2.20 per match.
Montreal on a roll and Toronto on a loss
CF Montreal are clear favorites at 2.04 to beat Toronto in the Canadian Classique on Thursday night and it is easy to see why. The hosts are in better form, have had more of the better results at home this season, and boast the more consistent goal scorer in Prince Osei Owusu, while the visitors are in a terrible streak and desperate for a victory.
Both teams are struggling in the MLS 2026 table with Montreal 24th and Toronto 26th on 14 points from 14 games each, but the hosts have had the better of their recent games, drawing 4-4 away to D.C. United, before going on to beat Vancouver Langley FC 2-1 in the Championship 2026 last weekend. TFC, on the other hand, have lost their last four MLS games, going down to Charlotte and Chicago Fire in their most recent away assignments. This prediction points to another difficult night for the visitors.
Lively game in store at Saputo
The question here is: are Montreal good enough to close this one out? CF Montreal vs Toronto FC preview suggests they will be the more positive team, so it all depends on how well Toronto can counter and keep the game structured.
Philippe Eullaffroy appears to have made the Montreal players more compact and trap-orientated this season. They sit
deeper than last year and are much more willing
to give the ball away so they can spring forward on fast vertical counters. The game plan should suit them in Canada and the numbers back it up, with Montreal averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per home game in MLS 2026.
Toronto are more of a possession and pressing team and, despite their current struggles, they will still set up in a 4-2-3-1 and will try to control the pace of the match. Robin Fraser has them well organised and they are far
from the chaotic side they were last season. Toronto are conceding 2.20 per away game this term, which gives Montreal a
target to aim at if they can get on the front foot in the first half.
A game for both teams to score and Montreal to win
Montreal's home record of three wins, one draw and two losses from six matches is enough to make them a slight favorite for this matchup, but the derby setting and TFC's desperation for a win make a close and scrappy game very likely.
Our best match bet here is both teams to score at 1.52 as it fits the recent attacking records of both clubs very well, and CF Montreal vs Toronto FC betting tips also lean toward goals. There should also be scope to get over 2.5 goals in the match at 1.65 if Montreal can find their best form, but we'll back the home side to edge out their bitter rivals because Toronto are so unconvincing in this division. Our CF Montreal vs Toronto FC prediction is a home win in a game with goals.
