Rayo Vallecano

vs

Real Mallorca

Predictions & Betting Tips

Tactical chess match in sight at Vallecas

Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Mallorca prediction highlights that Rayo Vallecano will be the clear favorites when they host Real Mallorca on Saturday, but there are enough reasons to back the visitors at +500 for the victory. Iñigo Pérez’s team have been in good form since the coach returned to Vallecas and re-established their high-pressing, proactive style of play that had gone by the wayside under his predecessor. Rayo are unbeaten in their two matches since he took over in February, beating Celta Vigo 2-1 away and drawing 2-2 with Real Betis in their most recent outings. They are eighth in La Liga 2024/2025 with 51 points from 37 games and a top-half finish is still a realistic goal. This Rayo Vallecano vs Real Mallorca prediction is also influenced by the fact that Mallorca are two places and four points behind them in 10th with 47 points, so both clubs have something to play for when they meet again seven months after the home side failed to win in the previous La Liga clash.

Mallorca can be a tough nut to crack

There is no great rivalry between the two clubs, but both will be keen to end the season on a high note as they are only a few points apart in the standings. Mallorca have had some bad results recently, losing four of their five La Liga matches with one win, but they can be very tough to break down because of their pragmatic approach to the game. According to our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Mallorca preview, Jagoba Arrasate has been in charge since July 2024 and has set up his team to be solid in the defensive third and selective in their pressing, countering opponents with quick transitions. Vedat Muriqi, who can hold the ball up and bring defenders out of position, is a key figure in this system with Cyle Larin, who has scored seven goals in 31 appearances, a good finisher of the counterattacks. Florian Lejeune, a defender, has chipped in with two goals in Rayo’s last five matches to show he can be a threat on set plays. Jorge de Frutos is their leading goal scorer in La Liga with six in 35 appearances, but Mallorca will need to keep an eye on him.

Hosts can get a positive result

Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Mallorca prediction suggests that Rayo have won six, drawn seven and lost five of their 18 home games in the league this season, averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. But their home crowd are passionate and can unsettle a Mallorca side that are in poor form and low on confidence. The Over 2.5 goals market is tempting at +132 given Rayo’s high-tempo approach to the match, but Mallorca’s recent defensive woes should see the hosts edge it and fulfill their pre-match odds of -188. For those looking at Rayo Vallecano vs Real Mallorca betting tips, keep in mind the home side's improved attacking form.