- Girona FC have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches.
- Atletico Madrid have won three, drawn one and lost just one of their previous five La Liga matches.
- Atletico have won this fixture three times in the last four meetings, including a 3-0 home victory in their last La Liga clash.
Girona and Atletico in battle of philosophies
Girona FC are 15th in La Liga with 41 points from 37 games, a disappointing return that does not capture the spirit of the previous campaign when Michel’s men were the surprise package of the division. When looking at the Girona FC vs Atletico Madrid prediction, it's clear that recent form may not tell the whole story for Girona.
Girona’s high-press, possession-based system has won them many admirers in neutral corners during Michel’s reign, which began in July 2021. It has also been highly effective in terms of getting results, although there has been a degree of inconsistency in their performances.
Aleix Garcia is the conductor of Girona’s 4-2-3-1 system, which is predicated on dominating the ball and creating overloads in wide areas. Cristhian Stuani is the team’s top scorer in La Liga this term with 11 from 31, but has been in fine form recently with four goals in his last five.
Atletico are more pragmatic than their hosts
Atletico Madrid are third in the table with 73 points after 37 games, reflecting their consistency throughout the campaign. Oscar Fernandez has maintained the defensive steel while also making the team sharper in attack.
The Girona FC vs Atletico Madrid preview must highlight that Antoine Griezmann is still the creative hub of Atletico’s play, pulling the strings and creating chances between the lines.
Alexander Sørloth has been their best finisher in front of goal with 17 from 34 in the league, five of which have come in his previous five.
Girona will need to be at their best to win this one with Atletico having a psychological edge in the recent head-to-head record.
Atleti have won this matchup three times in the past four meetings, most recently at home when they put three goals past Girona without reply.
Value in Atleti to edge a close game
Fernandez’s team are not the best travellers in the division, having won none, drawn once and lost once in their last two La Liga road games, but have a decent record overall of seven wins, six draws and five defeats from 18 away fixtures.
This Girona FC vs Atletico Madrid prediction is further informed by Girona’s home record of seven wins, three draws and eight losses from 18 La Liga games at Montilivi, which is also a bit shaky, and the odds reflect Atletico Madrid as +100 favorites and Girona as +290 underdogs.
Girona have conceded 26 goals in 18 home La Liga games this season, so there are defensive weaknesses for Atletico to exploit. For those interested in Girona FC vs Atletico Madrid betting tips, both teams average 2.0 goals in previous meetings at Montilivi and with both teams averaging 2.0 goals at home and away, respectively, in their league campaigns, it is reasonable to assume that the ‘over 2.5 goals’ market should land on Sunday.
