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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Pacos Ferreira logo
4 - 3
Full-Time
Chaves logo
Liga Segunda
Portugal
/
Liga Segunda

vs
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves Predictions

  • Pacos Ferreira and Chaves have played 3 Liga Segunda games, with Chaves winning twice.
  • Chaves have not won in their last two away games against Pacos Ferreira.
  • Pacos Ferreira have won four, drawn seven and lost three of their 14 Liga Segunda home games 2025-2026.
Chaves more competitive under Martins
Pacos Ferreira (16th, 32 points after 29 games) host Chaves (10th, 39 points) on Saturday in what is likely to be a low-scoring encounter between two disciplined teams. For those interested in a detailed analysis, our Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves prediction offers helpful insights into how this match might play out. Pacos Ferreira have experienced mid-season managerial changes, and Filipe Martins, who took charge of Chaves before the start of this campaign, has had the most impact on his team. Martins has an organised team, which plays a structured mid/low block with occasional high pressing and likes to run at opponents in transition. They are sharper in these moments and will be looking to expose Pacos Ferreira on the counterattack. Pacos Ferreira, on the other hand, sets up in a compact low-block with low pressing intensity and looks to frustrate their opponents before unleashing their forwards on wide transitions.
Pacos should not be underestimated
It sounds like a chess match in a game where neither team will want to lose, but it is Chaves who have a little more to push for in terms of the league standings. As part of this Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves preview, it's worth noting that the visitors are in better form with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five, but they were beaten 3-0 away to FC Porto B last week. Pacos Ferreira have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, although they are unbeaten in two at home while Chaves have split their last two road games.
Chaves have the edge
Roberto is the division’s sharpest marksman with 10 goals in 28 Liga Segunda appearances and his ability to finish off Chaves’ transition attacks makes him the most reliable option for an anytime goal on Saturday. Furthermore, this Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves prediction highlights Roberto's efficiency as a key factor. Pacos Ferreira’s best forward is Joao Victor, who has seven goals in 27 appearances in the second tier and will be the home side’s main attacking focus. But we wouldn’t back either to score here as Chaves are the better team on paper and have beaten Pacos 2-0 in the reverse fixture in Liga Segunda 2025/2026 four months ago. For punters seeking an edge, the Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves betting tips also suggest focusing on defensive solidity. Backing the visitors to nick a narrow win at 2.26 looks the play here as Martins has organised his new team into a consistent unit that has given Chaves a much more positive away record. Pacos Ferreira are a pragmatic setup with survival as their only objective this season and may not have enough to get over the line against Chaves, even at home. Under 2.5 goals is our main bet at 1.65 with Both Teams to Score - No at 1.8 a strong odds-on bet for this one given the defensive structures both teams will adopt.
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Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.27
    1X2
    Chaves
    Lost
    Explanation
    • In Liga Segunda 2025-2026, Pacos Ferreira conceded 39 goals (1.34 avg) while Chaves conceded 29 (1.00 avg).
    • Chaves has won 3 of their last 5 matches (2-0, 1-0, 1-0), while Pacos Ferreira has just one win in five games.
    • In recent head-to-heads, Chaves beat Pacos Ferreira 3 of 5 times, including two 2-0 victories away from home.
  • Tipped at
    1.62
    Over/Under
    Under 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Across the season, matches with Pacos Ferreira average 2.24 total goals per game, a figure below the 2.5 threshold.
    • In Liga Segunda, Chaves's games average 2.07 total goals this season, which also points toward fewer goals.
    • Pacos Ferreira has two straight 0-0 draws and Chaves recorded 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, showing tight play.
  • Tipped at
    1.81
    Both Teams To Score
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Chaves has both teams scoring in just 28.57% of their away games, making a no more likely on the road.
    • Pacos Ferreira sees both teams score in 50.0% of home matches this season, but Chaves's low rate offsets that advantage.
    • Head-to-heads show both sides scored in only 2 of the last 5 meetings (40%), favoring a match with one side shut out.

Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves Live Stats

Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves Live Stats

  • Possession
    45
    55
  • Total Shots
    7
    12
  • Shots On Target
    5
    7
  • Shots Off Target
    2
    5
  • Corners
    2
    3
  • Yellow Cards
    1
    2
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    10
    18
  • Offsides
    2
    4
  • Fouls Committed
    16
    6
  • GK Saves
    4
    1
Pacos Ferreira logo

Last 13 H2H matches

  • 5
    Won
  • 2
    Draw
  • 6
    Won
Chaves logo

Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves Last Matches

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Pacos Ferreira vs Chaves Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
9
Team Logo Chaves
42 34
17
Team Logo Pacos Ferreira
34 34

Player Statistics

Name
Joao Victor
8 0 2 0 32 2013
Ronaldo Lumungo
4 3 4 0 31 2498
Costinha
4 1 3 0 17 1241
David Costa
4 0 2 0 16 1178
Nuno Cunha
3 2 4 0 28 1840

Liga Segunda Standings

9
The Chaves logo
34 13 6 15 42:40 45
17
The Pacos Ferreira logo
34 9 12 13 34:48 39
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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