- Chaves has won two consecutive away games but has not won at home in their last two.
- Pacos de Ferreira has not won away this season, losing three and drawing three of their six away games.
- Pacos de Ferreira are conceding an average of 1.5 goals per away game.
Tight tactical tussle expected in local rivalry
Chaves and Pacos de Ferreira face off on Sunday in what promises to be a intriguing clash of different styles in the Liga Segunda 2025-2026. Filipe Martins’ men are a compact, tough-to-play against side with a back four and midfield that are both disciplined and tenacious.
The Chaves boss has made a fine start to his time at the club since taking the reins in July 2025, bringing in a structure-first approach that has seen his side perform solidly in the league. This Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira preview highlights their recent form: they have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five and sit fifth in the early-season table with 20 points from 13 matches.
Chaves are defensively solid and their ability to hit opponents on the counter is what sets them apart from other disciplined sides in the second tier.
Chaves can edge it in home town
Pacos Ferreira, by contrast, play an open style of football that utilises width and involves a lot of pressing and transition play. They can change between three and four at the back and have a flexible nature that makes them interesting to watch, but they are 15th in the standings with only 12 points from 12 games and need to improve.
The away side have taken just two wins from their last five, drawing once and losing twice, and suffered a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Maritimo last time out.
Chaves are the clear favourites at 1.6 and Pacos are big long shots at 5.58. Our Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira prediction is that the hosts can win this one in a close game and are my main recommendation for this match.
Roberto is their best attacking player, having scored five goals in 13 league games this season, but the team will have to work hard for the goals on Sunday. Costinha has four goals in 12 games and is Pacos’ main goal threat.
A battle of styles with both teams’ systems on show
Pacos Ferreira won the last head-to-head meeting 2-0 at home in the 2024-2025 Liga Segunda season eight months ago, but have failed to win on their two trips to Chaves since and this Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira prediction leans toward the home team edging out a close encounter on Sunday.
Under 2.5 goals at 1.77 seems an appropriate selection in this match as this is a low-scoring Chaves side and a tight game is expected. The Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira betting tips also suggest focusing on defensive resilience from both teams for this highly-anticipated fixture.