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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Chaves logo
2 - 0
Full-Time
Pacos Ferreira logo
Liga Segunda
Portugal
/
Liga Segunda

vs
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira Predictions

  • Chaves has won two consecutive away games but has not won at home in their last two.
  • Pacos de Ferreira has not won away this season, losing three and drawing three of their six away games.
  • Pacos de Ferreira are conceding an average of 1.5 goals per away game.
Tight tactical tussle expected in local rivalry
Chaves and Pacos de Ferreira face off on Sunday in what promises to be a intriguing clash of different styles in the Liga Segunda 2025-2026. Filipe Martins’ men are a compact, tough-to-play against side with a back four and midfield that are both disciplined and tenacious. The Chaves boss has made a fine start to his time at the club since taking the reins in July 2025, bringing in a structure-first approach that has seen his side perform solidly in the league. This Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira preview highlights their recent form: they have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five and sit fifth in the early-season table with 20 points from 13 matches. Chaves are defensively solid and their ability to hit opponents on the counter is what sets them apart from other disciplined sides in the second tier.
Chaves can edge it in home town
Pacos Ferreira, by contrast, play an open style of football that utilises width and involves a lot of pressing and transition play. They can change between three and four at the back and have a flexible nature that makes them interesting to watch, but they are 15th in the standings with only 12 points from 12 games and need to improve. The away side have taken just two wins from their last five, drawing once and losing twice, and suffered a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Maritimo last time out. Chaves are the clear favourites at 1.6 and Pacos are big long shots at 5.58. Our Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira prediction is that the hosts can win this one in a close game and are my main recommendation for this match. Roberto is their best attacking player, having scored five goals in 13 league games this season, but the team will have to work hard for the goals on Sunday. Costinha has four goals in 12 games and is Pacos’ main goal threat.
A battle of styles with both teams’ systems on show
Pacos Ferreira won the last head-to-head meeting 2-0 at home in the 2024-2025 Liga Segunda season eight months ago, but have failed to win on their two trips to Chaves since and this Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira prediction leans toward the home team edging out a close encounter on Sunday. Under 2.5 goals at 1.77 seems an appropriate selection in this match as this is a low-scoring Chaves side and a tight game is expected. The Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira betting tips also suggest focusing on defensive resilience from both teams for this highly-anticipated fixture.
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Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.56
    1X2
    Chaves
    Won
    Explanation
    • Chaves has 20 points vs Pacos Ferreira's 12 and a +5 goal difference, indicating clearer quality overall.
    • Defensively Chaves conceded just 9 goals (0.69 avg) and only 4 at home (0.67), giving them an edge.
    • Head-to-head edges to Chaves with two recent wins and a 2-1 home victory, suggesting another home win.
  • Tipped at
    1.73
    Over/Under
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Chaves's home matches average only 1.33 total goals and they score 0.67 at home, pointing to low scoring.
    • Pacos Ferreira scores just 3 away goals (0.5 avg) and their away matches average 2.0 total goals, limiting goals.
    • Recent games are low-scoring for both: Chaves's last five include 0-0 and 1-0 results, supporting Under 2.5.
  • Tipped at
    1.71
    Both Teams To Score
    No
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches with Chaves see both teams score only 35.71% overall and 42.86% at home, a low BTTS rate.
    • Pacos Ferreira's away matches have BTTS in just 28.57% of cases and they scored only 3 away goals, weak away attack.
    • Chaves conceded 9 goals all season (0.69 avg) while Pacos Ferreira struggle to score away, so likely one clean sheet.

Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira Live Stats

Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira Live Stats

  • Possession
    53
    47
  • Total Shots
    12
    6
  • Shots On Target
    5
    2
  • Shots Off Target
    7
    4
  • Corners
    5
    6
  • Yellow Cards
    4
    3
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    13
    8
  • Offsides
    1
    1
  • Fouls Committed
    7
    12
  • GK Saves
    2
    3
Chaves logo

Last 13 H2H matches

  • 6
    Won
  • 2
    Draw
  • 5
    Won
Pacos Ferreira logo

Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira Last Matches

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Chaves vs Pacos Ferreira Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
9
Team Logo Chaves
42 34
17
Team Logo Pacos Ferreira
34 34

Player Statistics

Name
Roberto
12 0 4 1 32 2385
Reinaldo
6 1 7 0 30 2452
David Kusso
5 3 6 0 28 1772
Tiago Simoes
4 0 3 0 26 2080
Pedro Pinho
3 0 12 0 30 2300

Liga Segunda Standings

9
The Chaves logo
34 13 6 15 42:40 45
17
The Pacos Ferreira logo
34 9 12 13 34:48 39
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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