- Chaves have won five, drawn five and lost five home league games in the Liga Segunda 2025/2026 campaign.
- UD Oliveirense have won one, drawn six and lost eight of their 15 away league matches in the Liga Segunda 2025/2026.
- Chaves have won the last three meetings of the clubs, including a 3-2 win away in the Segunda Liga four months ago.
Chaves can outplay Oliveirense to make it four on the bounce
Chaves will be looking to extend their 100% record in recent head-to-head games against UD Oliveirense on Monday when the 11th-placed Segunda Liga outfit hosts the 18th-placed Oliveirense. In this Chaves vs UD Oliveirense prediction, both teams come into the fixture with differing recent records that could influence the outcome.
Chaves, who are 11th in the table with 39 points from 30 games, have won the previous three meetings of these clubs and have never lost at home to Oliveirense. Meanwhile, the visitors, who are 18th with 30 points from as many games, have a terrible away record this season with one win, six draws and eight defeats from 15 trips.
Filipe Martins has imbued this Chaves side with a disciplined and pragmatic approach since taking over in July 2025 and his team have generally been difficult to beat at home this season. The Chaves vs UD Oliveirense preview highlights that Chaves have split their last two matches - beating Torreense 2-0 at home and losing 4-3 away to Pacos de Ferreira - while Oliveirense have failed to win any of their last three away from home, with no wins, one draw and two losses in their last three away matches.
Under 2.5 goals the best supporting play
Roberto is Chaves’s top scorer this term with 11 goals in 29 league appearances and is their main goal threat, although fellow veteran Andre Rodrigues has chipped in with two of Chaves's last six goals and could also make a difference.
While Chaves average 1.00 goals scored and concede 0.87 at home in the Segunda Liga, Oliveirense have conceded 17 times in their 15 away games this term, so there are plenty of opportunities for Chaves to take advantage of a mistake or two.
Oliveirense’s best chance of scoring will come from the patience of their number 10 to find the right moment to probe a compact Chaves block, but the hosts are good at transitioning from defence into attack so this has all the makings of a tactical tie.
Therefore, the best play on the game is for Chaves to win and Under 2.5 goals to be scored. Both teams are well organised defensively and the recent form of the teams does not provide much comfort in the Both Teams to Score market. Our Chaves vs UD Oliveirense prediction is further strengthened by the teams' low scoring tendencies and solid defensive work.
Chaves are the likely winners with their superior home record and head-to-head record supporting a win at 1.61, Under 2.5 goals at 1.94 and Both Teams to Score - No at 1.89. For those looking at strong betting angles, these Chaves vs UD Oliveirense betting tips suggest value in the home win and a low-scoring encounter.
