- Liverpool have lost four and won one of their last five English Premier League matches
- Liverpool have won three of their four home English Premier League games this season, averaging 2.00 goals per game
Liverpool look to bounce back from Anfield stumble
Liverpool will look to improve their English Premier League form when Aston Villa arrive at Anfield in a clash of two clubs level on points on the table. Both sides are on 15 points from nine games with Arne Slot’s Reds in seventh place and the Villans just one place below.
Liverpool have slipped down the English Premier League table in recent weeks as their only win in five has come in a 5-1 rout of Eintracht Frankfurt in the Champions League. The Anfield outfit lost last time out at home to the Foxes, but our Liverpool vs Aston Villa prediction is that they should be good enough to defeat an Aston Villa side that have been in great form in 2025.
Arne Slot has brought a possession-based identity to Liverpool since taking over as head coach in July 2024 and they look like a very different side to the one that had previously been led by Klopp. However, there is still some way to go before Liverpool become as effective as Slot wants them to be and they have yet to really adapt to the new way.
Emery’s team will test Liverpool’s tactical discipline
The control-driven style of Slot’s Liverpool has taken some time for his players to understand, with the structured pressing and patient build-up often being disrupted. But with Virgil van Dijk anchoring their high block and Mohamed Salah’s creativity, they can certainly dominate the tempo of the game against anyone in the world.
That is exactly what Villa will try to do on Saturday as Unai Emery’s side are specialists in compact shapes and fast vertical transitions. Emery’s attention to detail and pragmatism since November 2022 has been exemplary and it paid off in a 1-0 win over reigning champions Manchester City.
Douglas Luiz’s ability to control the midfield tempo and the slick set-piece routines that have often allowed Villa to get on the front foot with the ball are crucial to their success. For the Liverpool vs Aston Villa preview, Donyell Malen is their chief attacking outlet and he has two Premier League goals in nine matches, but Emery’s men are equally dangerous on the counter-attack.
Villa can make their presence felt in a high-scoring game
This Liverpool vs Aston Villa prediction is that the game will be a chess match between two good tacticians in Emery and Slot and each will be looking for a momentum-boosting result to send a statement to the rest of the league. Villa have won four of their last five matches in all competitions, including that famous win over City, but Liverpool have better players and will likely have the edge if this becomes a tight game.
With both teams to score listed at 2.2 and over 2.5 goals at 1.55, there is a strong belief that this will be an exciting and high-scoring matchup. Liverpool vs Aston Villa betting tips suggest Villa have won two of their last three away matches in all competitions and we don’t expect them to win at Liverpool, but the recent head-to-head trend is close enough to suggest the odds may be slightly against the Reds.
Liverpool are the favorites at 1.54 and Villa are 5.4 to pull an upset while the draw is 4.2, but with Villa winless in their last three trips to Anfield in all competitions, a home win looks like the best bet.
Liverpool have been in poor form domestically, but our final Liverpool vs Aston Villa prediction is that they should have too much quality to lose to a Villa team that have been strong recently. Cody Gakpo has the most English Premier League goals for Liverpool this term with three and looks good value to add to that tally given his recent form.
