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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Manchester United logo
3 - 2
Full-Time
Liverpool logo
Premier League
England
/
Premier League
/
Old Trafford

vs
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Manchester United vs Liverpool Predictions

  • Michael Carrick has stabilised Manchester United’s season by reverting to a more pragmatic 4-2-3-1 system.
  • Liverpool are more measured under Arne Slot, but they have enough talent to hurt United in transition.
  • Manchester United have won two of their last three home games, Liverpool have won one of their last two away games.
Carrick’s United look good value at Old Trafford
Michael Carrick has brought calm and stability to Manchester United’s top-flight campaign and his side look good to beat Arne Slot’s Liverpool in Sunday’s heavyweight Northwest Derby. This Manchester United vs Liverpool prediction reflects the recent improvements in United's play and tactical discipline. United’s form has been strong since the World Cup, with the Red Devils winning three, drawing one and losing just one of their five Premier League matches. The 20-time English champions recorded a gritty 1-0 away win at Chelsea and a 2-1 victory at home to Brentford in their two most recent assignments. Carrick has instilled a more measured approach upon his players by reverting to a 4-2-3-1 system and removing the physical demands of constant pressing - and it is working. Bruno Fernandes has been the creative engine for this United side, providing a staggering 19 assists in 31 league games and five in the last five, while Benjamin Sesko leads the front line with 10 PL goals in 29 appearances. Casemiro, meanwhile, has chipped in with three goals in his last five appearances to add bite to United’s midfield.
Slot has added control to Liverpool’s play
Liverpool have also won their last three, beating Everton 2-1 in the Merseyside Derby before claiming a comfortable 3-1 victory at home to Crystal Palace. For the Manchester United vs Liverpool preview, it's important to note that both teams enter this fixture in excellent shape. Slot’s side have been more selective in their pressing since he took charge in July 2024 and his system has brought some structure to Liverpool’s build-up play and central overloads. The Reds are a danger on the counter, where they have pace and power in abundance, but they are now a measured team that can control the pace of games. Hugo Ekitike is Liverpool’s top goalscorer with 11 in 28 league appearances, but the Reds average 1.47 goals per away game and concede 1.53, so they are dangerous going forward and vulnerable at the back.
Big game should be a exciting affair
Manchester United are third in the table on 61 points from 34 games, while Liverpool are fourth on 58 after the same number of fixtures. With the Champions League places and bragging rights on the line, our Manchester United vs Liverpool prediction suggests this clash should be a tough, but also exciting, matchup. United have not won any of their last three at Old Trafford against Liverpool, but they beat the Merseyside club 2-1 away in the most recent clash six months ago. For those interested in the betting angle, this Manchester United vs Liverpool betting tips section highlights the value in backing a home win and goals in the match. Both teams are in good form and with a lot to play for, so we can expect goals and action at both ends. A home win looks likely, however, and Carrick’s men are offered at a good price of 2.41 to do just that. The Manchester United vs Liverpool prediction also takes into account the attacking threat from both teams, so take Over 2.5 goals at 1.44 and Both sides to score at 1.4 as well.
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Manchester United vs Liverpool Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.46
    1X2
    Manchester United
    Won
    Explanation
    • Manchester United averages 1.94 goals at home and concedes 1.18 in Premier League 2025-2026, giving a clear home edge.
    • Liverpool scores just 1.47 on the road and concedes 1.53 away this campaign, so they struggle to score away.
    • Manchester United has 11 home wins this season while Liverpool has only 7 away wins, favoring the hosts at home.
  • Tipped at
    1.44
    Over/Under
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches involving Manchester United average 3.12 total goals in the Premier League this season, above 2.5.
    • Liverpool's games average 2.97 goals overall and 3.0 in away fixtures this season, pointing to more goals.
    • Their last five head-to-heads produced 17 goals (3.4 per game), showing their meetings often exceed 2.5.
  • Tipped at
    1.40
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • Manchester United has seen both teams score in 73.53% of matches this season, so they often concede at home or away.
    • Liverpool records both teams scoring in 64.71% of their games, including 64.71% of away matches this campaign.
    • In the last five head-to-heads both teams scored in 3 of those games, suggesting goals at both ends are common.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Live Stats

Manchester United vs Liverpool Live Stats

  • Possession
    38
    62
  • Total Shots
    18
    13
  • Shots On Target
    6
    5
  • Shots Off Target
    6
    5
  • Corners
    3
    2
  • Crosses
    16
    11
  • Yellow Cards
    2
    2
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    14
    15
  • Offsides
    3
    3
  • Fouls Committed
    12
    11
  • Counterattacks
    2
    3
  • GK Saves
    3
    3
  • Goal Kicks
    8
    10
  • Throw Ins
    9
    16
  • Treatments
    0
    0
  • Substitutions
    4
    3
Manchester United logo

Last 44 H2H matches

  • 19
    Won
  • 11
    Draw
  • 14
    Won
Liverpool logo

Manchester United vs Liverpool Last Matches

  • May 03 2026
    Premier League
    Liverpool logo
    Manchester United
    3
    Liverpool logo
    Liverpool
    2
  • Oct 19 2025
    Premier League
    Manchester United logo
    Liverpool
    1
    Manchester United logo
    Manchester United
    2
  • Jan 05 2025
    Premier League
    Manchester United logo
    Liverpool
    2
    Manchester United logo
    Manchester United
    2
  • Sept 01 2024
    Premier League
    Liverpool logo
    Manchester United
    0
    Liverpool logo
    Liverpool
    3
  • Aug 03 2024
    Friendly Club Matches
    Liverpool logo
    Manchester United
    0
    Liverpool logo
    Liverpool
    3

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Manchester United vs Liverpool Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
3
Team Logo Manchester United
69 38
5
Team Logo Liverpool
63 38

Player Statistics

Name
Bryan Mbeumo
11 3 4 0 33 2609
Benjamin Sesko
11 1 2 0 30 1643
Matheus Cunha
10 2 4 0 33 2494
Bruno Fernandes
9 21 5 0 35 3063
Casemiro
9 2 9 1 34 2570

Premier League Standings

3
The Manchester United logo
38 20 11 7 69:50 71
5
The Liverpool logo
38 17 9 12 63:53 60
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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