- Aston Villa have won the last 3 Premier League meetings between these two clubs, including a 2-1 victory in this season’s reverse fixture at Villa Park.
- Burnley have lost their last 5 games, including back-to-back defeats at Turf Moor.
- Villa have conceded 24 goals in their 17 away league games this season.
Clarets in dire straits
Aston Villa can add to Burnley’s Premier League relegation woes when they travel to Turf Moor this Sunday. This Burnley vs Aston Villa preview highlights the massive pressure on the Clarets.
Mike Jackson has had a rough job on his hands since taking over the reins at Burnley in May 2026, as his charges have only won 2 of 17 home Premier League games this season, with their most recent two home fixtures both defeats.
The Clarets sit 19th in the table with a paltry 20 points from 35 games, and look destined for the Championship unless they can put together a miraculous winning streak over the remaining three games.
Villa’s high-tempo system can unlock Burnley’s defence
With just 0.88 goals per game scored at Turf Moor in the Premier League this term, Burnley have set up to be solid, structured, and tough to break down. Our Burnley vs Aston Villa prediction takes into account how Burnley employ a compact 5-4-1 formation and are very much a defence-first side, which can make them difficult to break down when everything clicks.
Burnley’s most effective ways of countering this are quick transitions, counter attacks and set pieces, with Zian Flemming their main attacking outlet, having netted 9 Premier League goals in 26 appearances this term. However, Villa’s fluid, high-tempo style can cause the Clarets problems, and in contrast to Burnley, Villa will look to dictate the play, press the opposition, rotate their positions, and drive the game.
Unai Emery’s flexible system is very hard to get a grip on, but it has worked to great effect for Villa in the European push this year. This Burnley vs Aston Villa prediction is further strengthened by Emery's impact since November 2022, with Villa currently sitting 5th in the standings on 58 points.
Emery’s team can win and concede
Villa’s form is mixed, with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 in all competitions, but they have lost both of their most recent away games, including a 1-0 defeat to Fulham, and a 1-2 reverse at home to Tottenham. For those seeking Burnley vs Aston Villa betting tips, Burnley are in such poor form that we’re taking the Villans to come away with all 3 points here, but Villa are likely to concede in a high-scoring affair.
Aston Villa to win and Both Teams to Score - Yes is the selection, with odds of 1.63 for the former looking a little short. For a bit more value, the Over 2.5 goals market is available at 1.78, and Both Teams to Score - Yes is priced at 1.74. A high-scoring 2-1 away win seems likely, with Ollie Watkins leading the line again for Villa on 11 Premier League goals this campaign, while Emiliano Buendia is enjoying a purple patch with 2 in his last 5 appearances for the club.
