Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
HNK Rijeka logo
5 - 0
Full-Time
HNK Hajduk Split logo
HNL
Croatia
/
HNL

vs
Predictions & Betting Tips

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HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split Predictions

  • Hajduk Split are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 wins, 1 draw, Osijek 2-0, Slaven 0-0).
  • Hajduk Split are undefeated in their last 4 away games (3 wins, 1 draw).
Hajduk Split have been flying since mid-October
Our HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction is that Hajduk Split will be full of confidence and ready for a fierce game when they travel to Rijeka for Saturday’s Adriatic rivalry game. Gonzalo Garcia’s team have been in excellent form since July 2025 after he took charge. Garcia has been a revelation on the Hajduk Split bench, bringing his own brand of patient, possession-based football to the club with a 4-3-3 system and front-foot approach. He has been a master of the vertical transitions, where the ball is played into space in front of the second line to release the forwards or the wide players to the byline. Hajduk have been defensively solid since Garcia took over in July 2025, but the team are much more dangerous in the attack with the addition of a defensive pivot to his 4-3-3. Garcia also allows his wide players to rotate into the middle, so it is always a chess match in midfield when they are on the field, according to this HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction.
Rijeka have been solid at home under Victor Sanchez
Rijeka are a much more pragmatic and compact unit under Victor Sanchez, who was appointed in September 2025. Sanchez’s team play a pragmatic, compact mid-block and rely on rapid counter-attacks and wing overloads. Toni Fruk has been their main outlet in attack, leading the team with 4 goals in 13 HNL 2025/2026 games. He has also been an effective link between the second and first lines, but Rijeka have been more successful playing the 4-2-3-1 formation and when Sanchez has gone to a 3-5-1-1 with Fruk playing on the right. This HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split preview notes that Hajduk Split have the better of the form coming into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, but in their last 3 head-to-head encounters each side has claimed a win and one match ended in a draw. Hajduk top the HNL 2025/2026 standings with 29 points from 13 games, while Rijeka are eighth on 14 points from 13.
Expect a tight game, but slight edge to Hajduk Split
Rijeka have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their 6 home matches this season, scoring 8 goals in total, so we would expect this to be a low-scoring affair. The HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction for this match is under 2.5 goals, as Hajduk Split have conceded only 0.50 goals per game away in HNL 2025/2026, and they had a goalless draw at Slaven, so the Under 2.5 goals market at 1.53 appeals. Hajduk Split can get the win, but we feel the odds are too tight in their favour, with the bookmakers quoting them at 2.75. We will take the visitors at that price in the double chance market as they are undefeated in their last 4 on the road, while Rijeka will have a point to prove in this one under their new coach and with European soccer still to play. For punters looking for more value, our HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split betting tips suggest considering the draw market given the strong home record of Rijeka. Rijeka, therefore, are overpriced at 2.65 with a draw at 2.96. We think the hosts could get a point in this matchup with the last 3 head-to-head meetings producing a win apiece and a draw, the most recent of which was a 2-2 draw at Stadion Poljud in Split.

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.73
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    HNK Hajduk Split
    Lost
    Explanation
    • HNK Hajduk Split has 29 points vs HNK Rijeka's 14 and far more wins this season, showing stronger form overall.
    • HNK Hajduk Split concedes just 8 goals (0.62 per match) while HNK Rijeka concedes 17 (1.31), giving the away side a defence edge.
    • HNK Hajduk Split are in better recent form (W D W W W) whereas HNK Rijeka has mixed results, so HNK Hajduk Split likely wins away.
  • Tipped at
    1.51
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Under 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Games with HNK Hajduk Split average 2.31 total goals and many low-score results, pointing toward fewer than 3 goals.
    • HNK Hajduk Split defense has allowed only 8 goals this season and HNK Rijeka's home total goals average is about 2.5, suggesting a tight game.
    • Recent fixtures and head-to-heads show several low-scoring matches and clean sheets, favoring under 2.5 goals.
  • Tipped at
    1.73
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Won
    Explanation
    • HNK Hajduk Split's matches see both teams score in only 15.38% of games, so opponents often fail to score against them.
    • HNK Hajduk Split kept multiple clean sheets recently (2-0, 0-0, 3-0, 1-0), which lowers the chance that both teams will score.
    • HNK Rijeka averages 1.31 goals but HNK Hajduk Split's away defence allows just 0.5 per match, reducing the likelihood both score.

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split Live Stats

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split Live Stats

  • Possession
    31
    69
  • Total Shots
    13
    8
  • Shots On Target
    5
    3
  • Shots Off Target
    5
    4
  • Corners
    3
    8
  • Yellow Cards
    0
    0
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    6
    20
  • Offsides
    1
    0
  • Fouls Committed
    19
    7
  • GK Saves
    3
    0
HNK Rijeka logo

Last 63 H2H matches

  • 29
    Won
  • 18
    Draw
  • 16
    Won
HNK Hajduk Split logo

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split Last Matches

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HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
2
Team Logo HNK Hajduk Split
61 36
4
Team Logo HNK Rijeka
49 36

Player Statistics

Name
Toni Fruk
12 3 2 0 30 2029
Tiago Dantas
7 5 3 0 32 2567
Daniel Adu-Adjei
6 2 1 0 27 1556
Ante Matej Juric
4 1 4 0 26 1109
Merveil Ndockyt
3 0 1 0 21 917

HNL Standings

2
The HNK Hajduk Split logo
36 20 8 8 61:36 68
4
The HNK Rijeka logo
36 14 11 11 49:36 53
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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