- Atletico Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 matches, including their last two, with the recent 2-1 victory at home to Valencia CF being the most impressive.
- Atletico Madrid have won 2 of their last 3 away games against Girona FC, but neither side has anything to fear in this fixture.
- Atletico Madrid are 4th in LaLiga 2025/2026 (34 points from 17 games), whilst Girona FC are 18th (15 points from 16 matches).
Game of the weekend
The Girona FC vs Atletico Madrid prediction is that Atletico Madrid are strong favorites for this Sunday’s LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup at Girona FC at 1.74, and the Catalans are big outsiders at 5.02, but we feel that this game is a little too close for comfort.
Míchel’s men have won just 2 of their 8 home games in LaLiga 2025/2026 (3 D, 3 L), conceding 14 goals in total, and they’ve also lost 2 of their previous 5 overall (W1, D2, L2).
However, they did impress last time out, where they recorded an excellent 2-1 away win at Real Sociedad, and they could well cause Atletico Madrid problems at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, particularly if Viktor Tsigankov continues his current purple patch in front of goal (netting 2 of Girona’s last 5 goals).
Oscar Fernandez has done a great job at Atletico Madrid since July 2021, as he has maintained the club’s DNA, whilst adding an extra layer of possession and creativity to the usual defensive discipline and counter-attacking nous. This Girona FC vs Atletico Madrid preview highlights the tactical battle that will unfold this weekend.
A tale of two attacking styles
Girona FC are a very attack-minded team that plays with the ball as much as possible and look to press with high energy when out of possession. Míchel’s team flood the midfield in possession and play some brilliant football when they can get their full backs overlapping and wide players running at the opposing defense.
Atletico Madrid are more structured, but the same is essentially true of them. They like to sit deep and press selectively, but when they do get the ball, they look to play some intricate soccer in the half-spaces and move the ball forward in numbers.
In summary, both teams will be going for it, but this is a matchup of flanks versus the middle. The Girona FC vs Atletico Madrid prediction is that Atleti’s defence is less open, but their full-backs are less adventurous, and this will be a chess match for their respective bosses.
Atleti have the edge
Atletico Madrid have won 2 of their last 3 games against Girona FC, including a 4-0 success 6 months ago in La Liga 2024/2025, and the head-to-head record heavily favours the Madrid outfit.
Atleti have won 3 of their last 5 (D1, L1) and are coming into this matchup with the confidence that a 2-game winning streak can bring, whereas Girona FC have won just 2 of their 8 at home in the 2025/2026 campaign (D3, L3).
Atletico Madrid have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their 8 away games in the 2025/2026 LaLiga campaign, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding an average of 1.12. We feel that our Girona FC vs Atletico Madrid prediction is that Atleti have enough to just edge out Girona FC in this matchup, as the hosts try to drag themselves out of the relegation zone and the visitors seek to tighten their grip on a top four finish.
Atletico Madrid’s form, the head-to-head stats and their table positions suggest that they are the favourites for this game, but Girona FC are playing well and could push Atleti hard if they hit their stride.
Julián Alvarez leads the way for Atleti with 7 goals in 17 appearances, but Alexander Soerloth has chipped in with 3 of their 8 in their most recent run of games, providing a solid backup.
Azzedine Ounahi tops Girona’s scoring charts in 2025/2026, but only with 3 goals in 10, and he is probably the best chance of scoring for the home side.
For those seeking insight, our Girona FC vs Atletico Madrid betting tips suggest value in the ‘Both Teams To Score’ market at 2.02.
