- Atletico Madrid have won two of their last five LaLiga matches, losing three.
- Osasuna have won only one of their last five matches (D1, L3).
- Atletico Madrid have won three of the last five head-to-head meetings between the clubs (D0, L2).
Lisci has made Los Rojillos a much more dangerous prospect
Atletico Madrid’s last two LaLiga matches have been a 2-0 away win at Valencia and a 3-2 home win over Athletic Bilbao, but our Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction is that they will be made to work hard for a positive result at El Sadar on Tuesday. Alessio Lisci has transformed Osasuna from a plodding, reactive side into a high-energy, pressing team with a positive, direct approach.
Osasuna’s 4-4-2/4-2-3-1 shape looks compact on paper, but their pressing triggers are based on the ball’s position rather than its proximity to their goal, making them more disruptive than most teams in the top 10 and dangerous on the counter attack, especially at home. Los Rojillos have only lost three of their 17 LaLiga home games this season (W9, D5), but they have also conceded 20 goals in those matches, which is why they are not completely safe.
This Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid preview highlights that the clash will be a real tactical battle between Lisci’s high-energy approach and Oscar Fernandez’s more rigid structure. Atletico Madrid have remained relatively unchanged this season and remain a side that is compact when out of possession, while they deploy their players in a classic 4-4-2 that allows them to press selectively and spring into vertical attacks.
Experience and firepower still give Atleti the edge
The Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction points to a close encounter: Atletico Madrid are fourth in the table on 63 points after 34 games with Osasuna tenth on 42 points from 35, but those figures do not tell the whole story of the gulf in class between the two sides. Atleti have been so efficient this campaign that they have won only five of their 17 away LaLiga fixtures (D5, L7), while they have averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded per game on their travels.
In addition, this Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid betting tips article notes that this match should see both teams score as the visitors will surely push for the win, but Atleti have the experience and talent to edge a high-scoring game. The odds for Atleti to win on the road look attractive at 2.7, while ‘Over 2.5 goals’ is also a decent option at 1.88 with ‘Both teams to score - Yes’ coming in at 1.62.
Atleti can edge a close contest
Atleti can be the focus of our final Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction as they are fresh from a 1-0 home LaLiga win over Osasuna six months ago, but they are unlikely to have things their own way again at El Sadar. Atletico can edge a competitive affair with both clubs having goals in the game and Atleti averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.24 conceded on the road in LaLiga.
Ante Budimir has scored 17 LaLiga goals in 34 appearances for Osasuna, two of which have come in their last five, while Alexander Soerloth leads Atletico’s scoring charts with 12 in 31 LaLiga appearances. The two big strikers should have good chances to add to their haul on Tuesday, but we are giving Atleti the nod here because of their superior quality and record in this fixture.
