- Empoli are unbeaten at home in Serie B 2025/2026 (W1, D1 from 2 games).
- Monza have failed to win either of their 2 away trips in Serie B 2025/2026 (D1, L1).
Sides in transition after Serie A relegation
Our Empoli vs SSD Monza 1912 prediction highlights that both clubs are in transition under new managers after relegation from Serie A last season, so the early-season head-to-head between them should be intriguing. Guido Pagliuca has made Empoli very tough to beat at the Stadio Carlo Castellani, where they have won one and drawn one of their two games in Serie B 2025/2026 so far.
Pagliuca, who took over in June 2025, has installed an attack-minded, pragmatic style that relies on wing-backs, vertical runners and pressing at the right moments to trigger fast breaks.
His side have looked impressive at times, but a run of one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five games in all competitions has seen them slip to 16th in Serie B 2025/2026 with four points from four games.
Back-to-back defeats to Pescara and Genoa have hurt Empoli, who lost 4-0 at Pescara before exiting the Coppa Italia to Genoa.
Monza could just edge it
Monza have more points (7) than Empoli and sit 9th in the table, arriving in Tuscany off the back of a 1-0 home win over Sampdoria. This Empoli vs SSD Monza 1912 preview finds that Paolo Bianco took over at Monza in July 2025 and has instilled a De Zerbi-esque philosophy that is a blend of possession-based soccer with some build-up flair and scenario-driven pressing.
It doesn’t always work well for Monza, but they are usually organised, with Alvarez their most effective player up front.
Monza have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five and, although they were disappointing in last Saturday’s home defeat to Calcio Padova, a new era under their new ownership should make this an important campaign.
Monza are the slight favorites at 2.6 for this clash, although Empoli, who are 2.65 to repeat the 3-1 road win they achieved in Serie A 2024/2025, and the 3.2 draw option all have merit.
Empoli have an attacking edge
Given that these two have split their five recent head-to-head meetings, with two wins apiece and one draw, and Monza have not won in their past two away games to Empoli, it would be no surprise to see a tight 1-1 draw in this early-season contest.
The Empoli vs SSD Monza 1912 betting tips suggest that taking the Under 2.5 goals bet at 1.62 looks good, given neither side has shown the ability to cut loose of late and the visitors have only scored an average of exactly 1.0 goals on the road in Serie B 2025/2026 (2 goals in 2).
The clash of Empoli’s fast-paced counter-attacking style and Monza’s need to control the ball with a flexible back line should see some intriguing battles in midfield and between the wing-backs, which could determine the outcome of the game. For another perspective, the Empoli vs SSD Monza 1912 prediction is that neither side will dominate and both managers are still finding their best formulas.
