- Avellino’s away games this season have seen 1.61 goals conceded per game.
- Empoli’s Stiven Shpendi has scored 13 Serie B goals in 33 matches, 2 in their last 5, while Avellino’s top scorer is Tommaso Biasci, with 12 in 32 games.
- Empoli have won 4 of their last 5 games against Avellino, including a 3-0 win in the reverse fixture.
Empoli to Edge Serie B Scrap
Friday’s Serie B clash between Empoli and Avellino looks like one of the more intriguing matchups in this weekend’s Italian second-tier schedule, with the hosts aiming to continue their recent run of two unbeaten games, and the visitors looking to continue a 2-game winning streak of their own. Our Empoli vs Avellino prediction takes into account recent form: Empoli have won 1, drawn 1, and lost 3 of their last 5, while Avellino have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Empoli’s 2025-26 campaign has been nothing short of a slog, with their 37-point haul leaving them 16th in Serie B after 36 games. Fabio Caserta was appointed in March 2026, and they appear to be on the up at the right time. Meanwhile, the Empoli vs Avellino preview highlights Avellino’s 46-point haul which leaves them 8th in Serie B, an impressive return for a team which have proven themselves to be a competitive force in the Italian second-tier since winning promotion.
This game will be a fascinating tactical matchup between Caserta’s tempo-happy, vertical-passing system with a high defensive line and a strong pressing game, and the compact, pragmatic approach of Avellino boss Davide Ballardini. Ballardini has been in charge since February 2026 and has already established Avellino as a team who will sit deep with a 3-at-the-back system, congesting the center of the field and defending with discipline. The Empoli vs Avellino prediction will likely depend on which tactical approach prevails. They will allow the ball for long periods, but will look to counterattack quickly.
Open game expected
Empoli’s 3-0 win in the reverse fixture five months ago will be fresh in Ballardini’s mind, and they’ve only conceded 29 goals in 18 Serie B away games to date, suggesting they have the defensive resilience to stay competitive at Empoli. However, the Empoli vs Avellino betting tips indicate that their average of 1.61 goals conceded on the road shows defensive frailties on their travels.
Empoli’s average of 1.17 conceded per home Serie B game - 21 goals in total - suggests they have the resolve to keep Avellino quiet, but not to shut them out completely. Caserta’s side are in fact the more likely winners of this game, given their home advantage and superior possession-based game. However, the odds of 2.23 are generous, and it seems more likely that Empoli will have to work for their win.
Expect goals at both ends
Given the difference in approaches of the two teams, this matchup is likely to throw up plenty of open space in the attacking third, with the counter-attacking Avellino and pressing Empoli both likely to get their chances. Empoli’s Shpendi has 13 Serie B goals in 33 matches, and has scored 2 of Empoli's last 5 goals, while Biasci’s 12 in 32 games for Avellino make him their main goal threat.
Backing the hosts to win and over 2.5 goals, with both teams to score, seems a smart bet, with odds of 2.23 for an Empoli win, 1.84 for BTTS and 2.13 for the over/under, reflecting this Empoli vs Avellino prediction and our faith in both attacks to make their mark.
