- Almeria are unbeaten in five games (W3, D2) and have won their last two at home.
- Castellon are in mixed form with three wins, one draw and a defeat in their last five.
- Almeria have scored 12 goals in four home games.
Almeria at the top of their class
Union Deportiva Almeria, currently fifth in LaLiga 2 with 16 points from ten games, are the stronger of the two teams in this Sunday afternoon clash in Andalusia. According to our Union Deportiva Almeria vs Castellon prediction, Almeria hold the upper hand based on recent performances.
Rubi’s team are one of the most consistent in the upper echelon of the second tier and they have some of the most fluid football there as well. Almeria play a possession-based, flexible style of soccer that allows the full-backs to overlap when they want to and allows the number 10 freedom to drop and find space between the lines.
Adrian Embarba is their talisman with five goals in nine LaLiga 2 games so far this season, but he is not just a target man - he is the engine room that can push the ball forward, link the midfield and the frontline, and even get into the box himself.
Castellon, 16th in the standings with 12 points after ten matches, are still working out their identity under Pablo Hernandez’s leadership since his recent appointment. So far, his team has been more pragmatic and compact, preferring to defend in dense blocks and play wide, counter-attacking when they can.
This Union Deportiva Almeria vs Castellon preview indicates that the Oranges have dominated recent head-to-heads, winning both meetings in the last year and taking the most recent one - in LaLiga 2 - 4-1 at home six months ago. Almeria will be gunning for a little revenge on Sunday and are the 1.9 favourites, while Castellon and the draw can be found at 3.7.
Castellon can make it interesting
While Almeria are definitely the more likely winners in this game because of their superior attacking options and home form, there is enough reason to believe Castellon can stay in it and not be overrun. For this Union Deportiva Almeria vs Castellon prediction, it is important to consider that Almeria failed to win their last home fixture against Castellon, which gives a psychological edge to the visitors.
Secondly, Castellon have taken two wins and a draw from their last three away matches, suggesting they travel well and can match up to teams at a moment’s notice. They kept things tight at Eibar in a 0-0 away draw in their midweek game before falling 1-0 at home to Albacete last weekend.
Hernandez has put in place a balanced and organised structure that should be more able to stop leaks and start counters more efficiently. With a bit of pace in wide areas, they can be dangerous on the road when the opposition is trying to play with the ball on the ground. And Alex Calatrava, Castellon’s top scorer with three in ten in LaLiga 2, will be looking to get on the end of those.
Our Union Deportiva Almeria vs Castellon betting tips suggest that backing Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 is a good play here because of Almeria’s home firepower, but Castellon concede only 1.20 and score the same average when they are on the road. The Over 2.5 market is also a better option than backing Almeria to continue their good form and get the three points because it is likely that the result will be close, depending on which team dictates possession and which can exploit the flanks. The Union Deportiva Almeria vs Castellon prediction also highlights the possibility of a tight encounter given Castellon's recent form.
