- Both teams have won 2 of the last 5 meetings in this fixture, with 1 draw. The previous encounter was a 2-2 home draw in the Super Lig 2024/2025.
- Trabzonspor are 2nd in the Super Lig table with 9 points from 3 matches, a perfect home record and no goals conceded at home.
Black Sea derby set to be a tense and tight affair
The Super Lig’s Black Sea rivals and arch enemies, Trabzonspor and Samsunspor, have much to play for when they meet at Trabzonspor's home ground on Sunday in what promises to be a high-octane derby. According to our Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor prediction, both teams are likely to be cautious but determined as they battle for supremacy.
Trabzonspor have been in fine form since Fatih Tekke took over as manager in March 2025 and his pragmatic, high-tempo pressing game is now producing results at both ends of the pitch.
His side have won all of their last 5 competitive matches, including their 3 Super Lig fixtures to date, a run that has seen them make a strong start to the 2025-2026 campaign and shoot up to 2nd in the table.
The hosts have a 100% record at home, where they have not conceded a single goal, and will be confident of getting the 3 points here.
Samsunspor can provide a stern test for Trabzonspor
However, Sunday’s visitors have themselves had a solid start to the new campaign, sitting 5th in the Super Lig with 6 points from 2 matches.
Thomas Reis’ side are a well-drilled, proactive unit who know their roles in a clear 4-2-3-1 system which has been in place since July 2024.
They have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their previous 5 matches in all competitions, beating Kocaelispor on the road in the league, but losing to Panathinaikos in the Europa League qualifiers before drawing at home with Kasimpasa SK.
Samsunspor’s form book looks good on paper, but so does Trabzonspor’s, so the only thing that can separate these sides is the motivation that comes with the Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor prediction and the added pressure of European soccer for the visitors.
The bookies make Trabzonspor 1.80 favorites here with Samsunspor the underdogs at 3.40, but we’re taking the value on offer about the away side because Reis’ team are organised and should be able to get something out of this tough away game. Here are the Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor betting tips to consider: Samsunspor's strong organisation and motivation could see them come away with a positive result.
Goals could be at a premium in this derby encounter
The odds are quite short on this game featuring under 2.5 goals, but given Trabzonspor have won all three of their Super Lig games so far by a solitary goal (1-0 at home to Kocaelispor and Antalyaspor and a 1-0 away win against Kasimpasa SK), it seems like the smart bet. The Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor preview suggests that with both sides defensively strong, goals could be rare.
Both clubs employ a 4-2-3-1 system, but the tempo and approach to defending and attacking transitions are vastly different under their respective managers.
Tekke’s side will press the ball with high intensity and look to disrupt the opposition’s passing rhythm while Reis’ men will look to build-up in a controlled manner, have more creative players in midfield and press high to win the ball back in dangerous areas.
Felipe Augusto is Trabzonspor’s main goal threat with 1 goal in 3 Super Lig games this term, but young Turk Mustafa Eskihellac, who has provided 1 assist in 3 league games, offers a creative spark.
Emre Kilinc is a key playmaker for Samsunspor with 1 assist in 2 Super Lig appearances, and he has 3 assists in his last 5 appearances in all competitions and is a playmaker that can unlock defences.
Both managers will have their sides well organised for this clash and the expectation is for a tight, tense and closely-fought 90 minutes in which a goal at either end will be enough to take the win, highlighting the Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor prediction for a low-scoring encounter.
