- Spain are favorites and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 matches, beating Portugal 1-0 in the FIFA World Cup - Knockout Stage 2026
- Belgium have won 3 of their last 5 games, including their win over the USA in the FIFA World Cup 2026, but are the long shots in this fixture.
Belgium vs Spain: An interesting matchup of styles
Our Spain vs Belgium preview suggests Spain come into this match as the clear favorite at 1.67, with Belgium priced at 5.3 and the draw at 3.85.
The market appears to be ignoring the fact that Belgium have won 7 of their last 10 undefeated matches across all competitions, with three draws.
Spain vs Belgium betting tips point toward both teams to score & under 2.5 goals at 1.81 and 1.97, which suggests this will be a tight, controlled match, which is what I expect to happen.
Spain's game plan is simple, controlled, but effective: Possession-based football where the ball is passed through short, lateral passes and positional rotation to create wide overloads and wear teams down.
Belgium are a different kind of team, and a good comparison is Spain's style is one of control whereas Belgium's is vertical speed.
Rudi Garcia has set up his team to play a 4-2-3-1 to 4-3-3 hybrid system, where they use selective pressing.
Mikel Oyarzabal has been a key finisher for Spain so far in the tournament, scoring 2 goals in 2 games, and 3 of Spain's last 8 goals in their previous 5 games.
Spain are in a groove right now having won 4 consecutive matches, making them look sharp, compact and tough to beat.
Belgium are in a 3-match winning streak, so they will be full of momentum coming into this game as the underdogs.
Belgium's ability to rotate their forward line with Romelu Lukaku or Charles De Ketelaere also gives them a blunt, direct threat when transitions open up.
This should be a chess match of sorts with a few moments of high-class play, and Spain should have the edge in what looks to be a live knockout tie. Our Spain vs Belgium prediction is that Spain will control the game and edge a narrow win.
