- Sturm Graz II have the better recent form in this matchup with two wins, two draws and one loss from their last five league games.
- Hertha Wels have only one point from their last three games, with two defeats and a goalless draw away to First Vienna.
- Sturm Graz II, with 9 points, have the same number of points as Hertha Wels in the league table but a slightly worse goal difference (−10 to Hertha Wels' −9).
Struggling sides meet in 6-pointer for survival
A match between two struggling sides, SK Sturm Graz II and WSG Hertha Wels, at the bottom of the ADMIRAL 2. Liga (2025-2026) table, is a six-pointer for the two teams desperate to climb out of the relegation zone before the winter break. Both clubs have nine points from 12 games, but Hertha Wels’ goal difference is -9, while Sturm II’s is -10.
When it comes to our SK Sturm Graz II vs WSG Hertha Wels prediction, history shows these clubs have met six times competitively since 2018 with Hertha Wels having the slight advantage at three wins to two, with one draw. Results have included one-sided scorelines, including a 3-0 home win for Sturm II in June 2022 contrasting with a 3-0 away win for Hertha Wels in November 2018.
Sturm Graz II’s recent form suggests they might just nick the victory on Saturday, with Christoph Wurm’s youth-driven team playing with a bit more confidence and finding a couple of ways to unlock defenses. Midfielder Wisler Lazarre has been key in the last two games, scoring in a 2-1 away win at Austria Salzburg and starting as the creative spark in recent matches.
Hertha Wels’ survival bid rests on defence and set pieces
The win was secured by Jakob Ploner’s pace and poacher’s instincts off the bench, so he is a potential difference-maker again if Wurm selects him to start. Richmond Osazeman is his reliable forward partner in crime. Lazarre and Ploner have been involved in recent key goals and are still finding their way into the best roles in a formation that shifts from 4-3-3 to 4-2-3-1 depending on the game.
For this SK Sturm Graz II vs WSG Hertha Wels preview, Wurm’s team are still in development mode, so can be unpredictable, but have come through their toughest run of fixtures with two wins, two draws and a loss in their last five matches. Wurm’s flexibility and decision to deploy academy talent alongside veteran midfielders with a senior team’s style has stabilised results.
Hertha Wels’ form is worse, with Christian Heinle’s team picking up only one point from the last three fixtures, which was a 0-0 draw at First Vienna. They have played some tough games during that run and Heinle has kept the faith with his pragmatic approach, which has been to build solidity in defense and use set pieces and counter-attacks rather than attempting to out-pass their opponents.
Solarstadion could host tight game with few chances
Albin Gashi, another summer recruit, brings some 2. Liga experience and should be the creative hub of their attacks from midfield. Josip Eskinja, another new face, can hurt teams from set plays and on defensive transitions, while Manuel Thurnwald is a reliable set piece taker.
Home advantage and the cold, damp conditions could favour the more direct play of the hosts and set piece specialists like Thurnwald and Eskinja, who could conjure up a dramatic last-minute winner at the Solarstadion Gleisdorf. From the perspective of SK Sturm Graz II vs WSG Hertha Wels betting tips, there’s little value in betting on a result because both teams are playing to not lose more than win, so we’re taking Both Teams To Score at 1.57 rather than backing the home side at 2.38.
The SK Sturm Graz II vs WSG Hertha Wels prediction is that Sturm Graz II are a marginal favorite, with Hertha Wels at 2.71 and the draw at 3.46. The draw is a possibility and, based on the sides’ recent games, it could be a tight, cagey affair where one moment of magic or clinical execution of a set play could decide it. Overall, our final SK Sturm Graz II vs WSG Hertha Wels prediction leans towards a hard-fought, low-scoring contest.
