- Marseille have won 10, drawn three and lost only two of their 15 Ligue 1 home games this season.
- Nice have won only three, drawn two and lost ten of their 15 away league games.
OM on a high under Beye
Olympique Marseille sit 6th in Ligue 1 with 52 points from 30 games while OGC Nice are in 15th place with 29 points after 30 games when the teams line-up for the Derby de la Méditerranée. Habib Beye has brought a new energy to the club since he took over as head coach in February 2026 and a new tactical clarity to OM’s play.
Marseille will play with intensity and attack with numbers under his stewardship and have been winning the game of the 50-50 balls in a way that wasn’t happening before. The team have won only two of their last five games, but they have lost three of them too.
And with Nice having won only one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, the Olympique Marseille vs OGC Nice prediction makes OM clearly the favourites here. But they have not been quite as dominant at home lately, winning two and losing one of their last three, which leaves scope for some upset potential in the odds.
Nice need to be more solid
Puel, who took over at Nice in late December 2025, has made the side more solid and easier to watch. The previous regime’s back-three, wing-back system has been replaced with a more compact, pragmatic approach and Nice have drawn their last two games, taking a point away at Lille in their most recent road trip.
Marseille are likely to try to push the pace and the Olympique Marseille vs OGC Nice preview highlights that Nice will aim to make it ugly and frustrating in order to grab something from the game, but Nice have won only once in their last three trips to Marseille and failed to win their two previous away trips to the Velodrome.
Marseille likely to make their mark
Mason Greenwood is in prolific form for OM, having scored 15 goals in 28 Ligue 1 games, while Amine Gouiri has chipped in with two goals in their last six. Sofiane Diop is Nice’s top scorer this term with seven in 29 games, but the visitors don’t score enough goals.
According to our Olympique Marseille vs OGC Nice prediction, Marseille have also conceded 18 times at home and may concede again to the visitors, who have averaged just over one goal per game away. Hence, take OM to win and both teams to score in a high-scoring affair, but not at short odds.
For those looking for Olympique Marseille vs OGC Nice betting tips, note that in their last three meetings, Marseille have won twice and Nice once, and OM ran out 5-1 winners when they last met in Ligue 1 five months ago.