- Hajduk Split are the league’s best away team but Varazdin have won five and drawn three of their 11 home HNL 2025-2026 matches.
- Hajduk Split have three wins and two defeats in their last five HNL matches, coming into this game on the back of a three-game winning streak.
- NK Varazdin have three wins and two defeats in their last five HNL games, but come into this on the back of a two-game losing streak.
Head-to-head trends and form suggest a tight game
This NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction highlights that Hajduk Split are the bookies’ favorites to win this weekend’s HNL matchup between 2nd-placed Hajduk Split (46 points from 23 games) and 4th-placed Varazdin (32 points from 23 matches) at 2.05, but Varazdin are close behind at 3.45 with the draw at 3.2 for what has become a classic Croatian football rivalry.
The last head-to-head at Hajduk’s ground finished 1-1 and over the last five meetings, this NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split preview shows Varazdin with two wins, Hajduk one, with two draws. Hajduk Split have failed to win any of their last three away games at Varazdin and this fixture has become an interesting stylistic rivalry as the hosts’ recent rise under coach Nikola Safaric has impacted Hajduk’s title ambitions under Gonzalo Garcia.
Hajduk Split are the best away HNL side
Garcia’s side have been the best travellers in HNL 2025-2026 with six wins, two draws and three defeats from 11 away games so far. Only 11 goals conceded (1.00 goals against) in these matches have allowed Garcia’s team to build some momentum near the top of the table with a three-game win streak that includes a 2-0 away win over Osijek and a 1-0 victory over Rijeka.
The NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction is shaped by Hajduk's attacking edge over Varazdin right now, which is why over 2.5 goals at 2.05 makes excellent value for this clash, given the hosts’ record of conceding 17 goals in 11 home games this season - an average of 1.55 goals against. Hajduk’s 4-3-3 system is a high-tempo, pressing one that relies on possession and building from the back, but their ball-winning and counter-pressing is also effective at creating turnovers and vertical attacks.
Varazdin are a well-organised 4-2-3-1
Under Safaric since December 2023, Varazdin have been a compact, counter-attacking 4-2-3-1 team that will sit back, protect their defensive shape, be disciplined in their positions and come out fast after turnovers. It’s a style that has yielded some surprising results against the league’s bigger teams, and Ivan Mamut has been in great form up front with eight goals in 22 HNL games.
He has scored three of Varazdin’s last seven goals and could be a major factor against a Hajduk side that has played wide in recent weeks, with Michele Sego leading the line with 10 goals in 21 HNL appearances and Rokas Pukstas providing good support with two goals in the last five. For fans seeking NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split betting tips, it’s important to consider that the visitors have momentum in their favor, but Hajduk have struggled in recent visits and Varazdin’s home record this season suggests the draw or an upset could be on the cards. The final NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction is that this will be a tightly contested and unpredictable match.
