- Pafos FC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches, while Hajduk Split have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of theirs.
- Pafos FC have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 away, while Hajduk Split have won 4 of their last 5 at home.
- Hajduk Split have conceded 5 goals in 5 home games across all competitions.
Pafos have more momentum ahead of clash
There's no head-to-head record between these sides, so Thursday's UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 clash between HNK Hajduk Split and Pafos FC really does have a fresh, anything-can-happen feel. This HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos FC preview is reflected in the odds, where Pafos are favourites at 2.6, while Split are 2.7 and the draw is 3.1.
Pafos have a better recent form with 3 wins in 5, but the hosts are in the mix too with 4 wins in 5 at home, so we're siding with the visitors in our HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos FC prediction to maintain their momentum with a narrow 1-0 win.
Hajduk Split won 2-0 at home against MSK Zilina in their UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 opener before falling to a 2-1 defeat away to the same side earlier today. The tie remains very alive, but it's Pafos who are coming in with more momentum.
Gonzalo Garcia took charge of Split on 1 July 2025 and has led them to a solid, if unspectacular, 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 system based around control and selective pressing. They like to build up from the middle and stretch play with overlapping full-backs, while Pafos are more vertical, more willing to defend compact and hunt for turnovers.
That contrast should make the midfield battles pivotal with Hajduk looking to play through while Pafos wait to pounce on space. Split are a patient side and have the ability to turn it into a cagey game, so under 2.5 goals at 1.65 looks good, while both teams to score at 1.85 also appeals in a tight, tense matchup.
Pafos boss Ricardo Sa Pinto joined the club on 29 April 2026 and has made them a harder to beat side, with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats in their last 10. They beat APOEL Nicosia FC 2-0 at home in the 1. Division - Championship Group 2026 and Apollon Limmassol FC 2-0 away in the Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 to come into this matchup on a 2-game winning streak.
Hajduk have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats in their last 10, so they're a solid but streaky side. Split have a good home record, however, winning 4 of their last 5 at Poljud and they have a chance to make their mark on this matchup. Our HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos FC betting tips point to a low-scoring contest with the visitors narrowly edging it.
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck leads the way for Hajduk in the UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 with 1 goal in 2 games and is a threat from the back or set-piece chaos. In our HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos FC prediction, his set-piece presence could be a key factor if the hosts are to trouble Pafos.
