- Newcastle’s home record this season in the Premier League is W1, L1.
- Arsenal’s away record this season in the Premier League is W1, L1.
- Arsenal have avoided defeat in their last 5 consecutive matches (W3, D2).
Toon and Gunners set for a tactical tussle
The head-to-head record between Newcastle and Arsenal in the last 3 meetings stands with Newcastle winning two and Arsenal one, with no draws, including Newcastle’s 2-0 win at St James’ Park in the EFL Cup seven months ago. This Newcastle vs Arsenal preview highlights that Sunday’s clash is as much a clash of styles as it is a battle for points, with Newcastle’s 4-3-3 formation morphing into a 4-5-1 out of possession, as opposed to Arsenal’s fluid 4-3-1.75-4-2 system.
Mikel Arteta’s tactical tweaks this term have made the Gunners a far more dangerous team when in possession, and our Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction is that they can overpower any Premier League team on their day with their cohesive positional play, precise pressing triggers and wide overloads. Newcastle’s more compact system is less open to exploitation when the Magpies are in their shape, but they are still dangerous on the counter-attack when the ball gets turned over.
Newcastle manager Eddie Howe has had to get creative in attack after losing his main striker, resulting in a more unpredictable front line. Joelinton has chipped in with 2 goals in their last 6, while Bruno Guimaraes has been the club’s biggest threat with 1 Premier League goal in 4 appearances. Jacob Murphy has been their chief creator with 1 assist in 4 Premier League matches.
Arsenal have a star in their ranks in Viktor Gyoekeres, who leads the way with 3 Premier League goals in 5 games. Arteta’s men have also been lethal from midfield this time out, with a midfield dynamo already on 2 goals this campaign.
Draw and Under 2.5 goals the play
Newcastle have drawn their last two matches 0-0, the second against Bradford City at home in the EFL Cup. With Arsenal also drawing their last 2 matches, the draw and Under 2.5 match goals looks a solid wager at 1.75, given the average goals per game of these clubs respectively and considering our Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction.
Newcastle have won only one of their last 5 matches across all competitions (W1, D2, L2), while Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 3 away games in all competitions (W2, D1). This Newcastle vs Arsenal betting tips analysis shows that with the odds set at 3.4 for both Newcastle and the draw, we’re going for the visiting team, who are in the better form and unbeaten in their last 5. The psychological side of this game also plays a factor, given Arsenal have not won on their last 2 visits to St James’ Park and Newcastle can be tough to crack when on a roll.