- The Netherlands have scored 13 goals in their last four FIFA World Cup qualifiers, including back-to-back four-goal wins in October.
- Oranje are unbeaten in their last five competitive games, winning four and drawing one, and have a +11 goal difference in UEFA Group G qualifying.
- Memphis Depay is in prolific form for the Netherlands, becoming the nation’s all-time leading scorer when he bagged a brace against Lithuania.
Lithuania can’t get a foothold in Group G
Ronald Koeman’s exciting Oranje side have been in fine form during the current qualifying campaign, with a series of tactical tweaks producing a team which are a joy to watch when in full flow. The Dutch are on course to qualify directly for the 2026 World Cup after topping Group G with 16 points and already assured of a top-two finish. Even if Koeman makes wholesale changes in this fixture, the difference in quality between the two squads should be enough for the hosts to win at a canter.
Our Netherlands vs Lithuania prediction is reflected in the stats, as Netherlands have won their only competitive game against Lithuania, running out 3-2 winners in Kaunas, and the result was never really in doubt after a two-goal burst from star forward Memphis Depay. Depay has been in prolific form for club and country, becoming Oranje’s all-time top scorer in that game and contributing heavily in October’s big wins.
Oranje’s system is fluid, with players swapping positions regularly and an aggressive style of play which sees them press high up the pitch and use their full-backs to provide width. Koeman’s side dominated possession and territory against Lithuania in Kaunas, and while they had to see out a 3-2 win, their opponents were never really in the game.
Dutch dominance is expected
Lithuania are a defence first team, with Edvinas Girdvainis providing defensive stability and a platform for their midfield players to attack from. Justas Lasickas brings energy and leadership to the right-hand side of Jankauskas’ set-up, and Lithuania will aim to keep things tight, frustrate their hosts, and look for opportunities to hit on the counter or from set pieces.
This Netherlands vs Lithuania prediction highlights that Netherlands should be able to pick Lithuania off at will on Monday, especially if Koeman persists with the same side which delivered big wins in October. Lithuania’s main goal threat comes from set-pieces, with Girdvainis the most likely source of goals, as he did when he scored his side’s equaliser in their previous meeting with the Dutch.
Lithuania’s motivation for this game will be pride and developing as a football nation, and a positive result would be a major surprise and a huge morale boost for Jankauskas’ men. The visitors have shown some bite in qualifying, but a lack of attacking bite has meant they are already mathematically out of contention for a top-two spot with just three points earned in the group. For more information, check our Netherlands vs Lithuania betting tips.
Koeman’s Netherlands are a class apart
Oranje are a cut above their opponents in every department, and their impressive attacking output in October’s group games suggests they can overwhelm Lithuania for goals on Monday. The Netherlands vs Lithuania preview indicates that over 2.5 goals looks a good bet at the heavily favored odds of 1.22, while a comfortable 3-0 or 4-0 home win is our main selection for the score line, depending on whether Koeman fields his first-choice XI in Amsterdam.
The final Netherlands vs Lithuania prediction points to Lithuania’s two goals in Kaunas as an impressive effort, and they can certainly cause problems for the Netherlands on occasion. However, Oranje are a dominant force on their day, with Cody Gakpo also in good form and contributing goals and assists, and the visitors will not be able to hold out for long in these ideal conditions for Dutch soccer.
