- MTK Budapest have won eight, drawn two and lost five of their 15 home games in NB I 2024-2025, averaging 2.13 goals per game.
- FC Ujpest have won just four, drawn five and lost six of their 15 away games in NB I 2024-2025, scoring 0.87 and conceding 1.47 goals per match.
- MTK Budapest have dominated the last three head-to-head matchups, beating Ujpest on each occasion, including a 5-1 win away two months ago.
Familiar foes meet in a battle of Budapest’s best
5th-placed MTK with 46 points from 32 games have had a much better NB I 2024/2025 campaign than their 7th-placed rivals Ujpest, who have 38 points from 32 matches. The home team are eight points above their city rivals in the standings and have dominated the most recent head-to-head meetings between these two storied rivals, making them narrow favorites at +110 with a draw priced at +280. Our MTK Budapest vs FC Ujpest prediction sees MTK favored primarily due to recent performances and head-to-head superiority.
The home side have split their last two games, beating Kecskemeti TE 2-1 at home and then losing 2-1 away to Diosgyori VTK, results which have contributed to their inconsistent recent form of one win, two draws and two defeats. David Horvath has done a fine job since taking over in October 2022, instilling a clear attacking philosophy and developing his squad so they are comfortable playing a fast-paced, possession-based system, usually in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formation.
The visitors have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last five matches and enter this derby off the back of consecutive draws. The MTK Budapest vs FC Ujpest preview highlights that Damir Krznar’s appointment as head coach has certainly brought freshness to the club and a much-needed tactical discipline, as seen in their recent improvements in defensive performance and increased draws in results.
MTK to edge out a competitive derby
A meeting between these teams will always be a battle of styles with MTK’s expansive style meeting Ujpest’s more pragmatic, counterattacking approach. Ujpest will sit deep in a compact 4-4-2 or 5-back system and try to create chaos behind MTK’s defence when they have the ball, however, their lack of cutting edge up front may cost them.
In MTK’s red-hot striker, Marin Jurina, who has 13 goals in 32 NB I appearances, including three in his last six appearances for the club, they have the type of player capable of hurting any defence. Meanwhile, Fran Brodic has been a constant goal threat for Ujpest with nine goals in 30 NB I matches, while Matija Ljujic has been their creative spark recently, scoring two of their five goals.
Given the superior home form of the hosts, their dominance in the last three head-to-head meetings and the superior offensive output they have produced this season, we’re going with the MTK Budapest vs FC Ujpest prediction favoring the hosts to come out on top in this match. For those looking for additional insight, this MTK Budapest vs FC Ujpest betting tips section suggests that Ujpest’s recent form has seen them become more organised and solid at the defensive end and this could keep them in the game, but the value on the Over 2.5 goals line is worth consideration with these two teams.