- Monza are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning three and drawing two.
- Mantova are inconsistent at home, winning and losing one of their last two.
- Mantova have conceded 27 goals in their 18 home games in Serie B 2025-2026.
Monza make Serie A move in Serie B
Serie B 2025-2026’s surprise package SSD Monza 1912 continued their promotion bid with an emphatic 3-0 away victory at Sampdoria last weekend, before following it up with a 1-0 home win against Modena. Paolo Bianco has instilled a promotion mindset and tactical discipline into the club since he took over in July, and the visitors could be on their way to making a huge statement with another win on Friday, making this Mantova vs SSD Monza 1912 prediction particularly intriguing.
Mantova will need to bounce back from their 0-2 home defeat to Avellino, and they did so in emphatic style, thrashing Sudtirol 3-0 in an away game just two days ago. Monza have won eight, drawn six and lost only four of their 18 away games in Serie B 2025-2026, and their average of 1.39 goals per game scored is only marginally better than their 0.94 goals per away game conceded record. Considering the recent results, our Mantova vs SSD Monza 1912 preview suggests another competitive and hard-fought battle between these sides.
Monza travel to a mid-table Mantova side in Serie B 2025-2026 who occupy 11th position in the table, having accumulated 43 points from their 36 games this season. Francesco Modesto has made Mantova a solid, pragmatic outfit since taking over in December, but his team have nothing left to play for in the league and may struggle to match the quality and momentum of their visitors.
In-form Monza to take the points
Mantova have won three and lost two of their last five games, but with Monza sat in 2nd place in Serie B 2025-2026 with 75 points from 36 games, they should expect to be beaten here. An away win is our main Mantova vs SSD Monza 1912 prediction, at the top odds of 1.74, which may look short, but reflect Monza’s position in the standings, their recent form, and the fact that they beat Mantova 1-0 in Serie B eight months ago.
Mantova have split the results in their last two home games, with a win and a loss, but they have conceded 27 goals in 18 home games this season. Mantova vs SSD Monza 1912 betting tips suggest Monza have played some excellent football and should be able to take advantage of Mantova’s leaky defense on Friday evening.
A goal-filled game awaits
Matteo Pessina has netted three of Monza’s last eight goals in five games, while Andrea Petagna is the team’s talisman, banging in eight goals in 25 Serie B 2025-2026 appearances this term. In contrast, Francesco Ruocco has seven in 23, and leads the line for Mantova. This could be an interesting tactical battle, with Mantova’s 3-4-2-1 formation prioritising a compact defensive block and quick counter-attacks with their wing-backs and two attacking midfielders, while Monza, also operating with a back three, are more possession-based and use overloads in the half-spaces and patient probing to break down organised defences.
Monza’s recent momentum and promotion chase should see them get the better of a pragmatic, counter-attacking Mantova on Friday, but the matchup should lead to plenty of goals, so the Mantova vs SSD Monza 1912 prediction is to back both teams to score and Over 2.5 match goals, at 1.83 and 1.93, respectively.
