- Manchester United have won two and lost three of their last five EPL games, losing their last two.
- Aston Villa have won three of their recent five EPL outings.
- United have won four, drawn once and lost once of the last six Premier League meetings of the two clubs.
Villa in the hunt for Champions League places
Villa’s late-season surge has lifted them to fifth in the EPL 2024-2025 season table with 66 points from 37 games while Manchester United are languishing in 16th place with 39 points.
That’s not a good ratio of points won to games won for a club of their size and ambition, but it reflects a disappointing campaign. Our Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction reflects this contrast, as Villa are going well and look to be finishing off strongly.
Unai Emery’s pragmatism has given them a chance of Champions League qualification and his ability to adapt his 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 to be both compact and lethal in transition has been a masterclass.
United’s problem is they’re not playing as one
Ruben Amorim is no stranger to the art of making things tick, but his attempts to integrate his philosophy at Old Trafford since November 2024 have seen more experimentation than cohesion. The Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction could be influenced by his 3-4-3 system, which gives the team width from the wing-backs, but his desire to press high has been less fruitful.
The Red Devils have won six, drawn three and lost nine of their 18 home league games this season, scoring just 1.17 goals per game on average. But the bookmakers make Villa favorites at +102 to go with United’s +235.
Wolves are going to have a tough game
It’s no surprise that Manchester United are not a team in harmony right now as Bruno Fernandes is playing his best football from midfield with eight goals.
Mason Mount is having a purple patch with three goals in his last five games, however, and is the best chance for an anytime goal in this Manchester United vs Aston Villa preview.
Villa are likely to be with Ollie Watkins leading the line and having scored 16 league goals to be one of the sharpest forwards in the division.
Manuel Ugarte, meanwhile, is the engine room of the side and has three assists in United’s last 5 matches.