Malaga CF vs Burgos CF - Match Preview
- Malaga CF have won three straight home games and haven’t been beaten in any of their last four.
- Burgos CF have lost back-to-back away games and are on a two-game losing streak.
- Malaga’s recent home games have tended to be low scoring.
Malaga can squeeze out a tight win
This Saturday’s LaLiga 2 clash between Malaga CF (16th, 52 points) and Burgos CF (12th, 54 points) could be pivotal in the relegation fight, with neither side yet assured of their LaLiga 2 status for 2024-2025.
With Malaga much the stronger home side and Burgos having a poor away record, the odds of 2.00 for a Malaga win seems about right and the hosts can nick it in what could be a tense matchup, making this Malaga CF vs Burgos CF prediction especially intriguing for bettors.
Sergio Pellicer’s side have won ten, drawn six and lost just four of their 20 home LaLiga 2 games this term, and are in decent form at the moment with three wins and two defeats from their last five games, although they were beaten 2-0 at Elche last time out.
Burgos will keep it tight
Burgos, meanwhile, have had a poor recent run of one win and four defeats in their previous five games in LaLiga 2, with their away record of five wins, five draws and ten defeats from 20 games showing that they struggle on the road.
Luis Ramis leads Burgos CF and focuses on keeping his side compact.
Malaga are a more balanced side who usually set up in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 formation, so our Malaga CF vs Burgos CF preview suggests this could be a chess match between two coaches who are very different in their approach to the game.
Malaga’s Dioni is their main scoring threat with seven goals in 38 LaLiga 2 games this season, but Chupe has been red-hot in recent weeks with three of Malaga’s last four goals in their last 5 games.
Burgos’ best player in front of goal this season is Fer Niño with nine in 40 LaLiga 2 appearances and he has also netted three of Burgos’ last six.
Malaga to squeeze out a win
Neither side has managed to beat the other in their two previous head-to-heads, but given Malaga’s home form and their recent results at La Rosaleda, the hosts should be expected to nick a cagey affair that could be decided by a single goal. For those interested in wagering, the Malaga CF vs Burgos CF betting tips favor a tight, low-scoring encounter with home advantage possibly tipping the scales.
The odds on Malaga winning look about right, but with Malaga conceding just 0.70 goals per home game in LaLiga 2 and the last two head-to-heads in the second tier both finishing as draws (the most recent one 0-0 five months ago), it may be safer to play in the ‘under’ in the goals market. Overall, this Malaga CF vs Burgos CF prediction leans towards a narrow Malaga victory in another closely fought contest.