Gremio Porto Alegrense RS

vs

Sportivo Luqueno

Predictions & Betting Tips

Gremio to dominate possession in a cagey contest

Gremio Porto Alegrense RS are strong favourites to defeat Sportivo Luqueno in Thursday’s Copa Sudamericana fixture and rightfully so. Mano Menezes, who took over the reigns in April 2025, has quickly established a possession-based, structured and disciplined approach to the game which suits Gremio’s squad better and should serve them well in the high-stakes continental games. Our Gremio Porto Alegrense RS vs Sportivo Luqueno prediction points to Gremio’s dominance in possession and discipline in their tactics. Gremio are unbeaten at their own ground in the competition, winning 1 and tying 1 of their 2 matches, averaging 1.5 goals per game at their fortress. The home side haven’t won in 5 matches across all competitions, tying 4 and losing 1, but they are a hard team to beat and should have the quality to edge this one. Sportivo Luqueno, meanwhile, are a more direct team with a counter-attacking philosophy. Gustavo Morinigo took over in February 2025 and has done his best to get his team to get their bodies behind the ball and look to counter attack, but the recent results haven’t reflected the improvement in their performance. Blas Diaz is the experienced midfield general who will be expected to cover up the middle and be a creative outlet for the counter-attackers to pounce.

Stakes are high for both teams

This Gremio Porto Alegrense RS vs Sportivo Luqueno preview highlights how massive this game is for both clubs as they both harbour dreams of making it through to the knockout rounds of the competition. Gremio are expected to control the ball and dictate the tempo but Luqueno will be hoping to catch them on the break and will be looking to take their chances when they get them. Gremio have the more quality in terms of the squad but also have a lot to gain from the win on Thursday. Matias Arezo is Gremio’s main threat, netting 2 goals from his 4 Copa Sudamericana Group D appearances. For Sportivo Luqueno, Brahian Ayala has 1 goal from 4 games in the same competition, but their lack of potency is clear to see.

Go with the hosts

The odds on the hosts at 1.35 are obviously short but Sportivo Luqueno look like massive underdogs at 8.50 and we think the 1.35 is about right for this one. According to this Gremio Porto Alegrense RS vs Sportivo Luqueno prediction, the home advantage and superior squad quality make Gremio clear favourites. Gremio are a cagey team and Sportivo will be licking their wounds after failing to score in their last two games and being trounced 4-0 by Nacional Asuncion just 9 days ago. Gremio will get the job done on Thursday and we expect Under 2.5 goals to be a solid bet given both teams’ recent attacking struggles. For those interested in more insight, our Gremio Porto Alegrense RS vs Sportivo Luqueno betting tips point toward a narrow Gremio win with a low scoreline.