- Germany have won four and lost only one of their last five games, while Paraguay have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five.
- Germany have scored 21 goals in their last five home games in all competitions, averaging 4.2 per game.
- Paraguay have scored 1.12 and conceded 1.62 goals per game in their away matches across all competitions this year.
Goals are the way to go
Julian Nagelsmann's high-tempo, vertical, pressure-based style of play has a front-foot Germany team dominating their opponents and setting up a high-scoring match when they come up against the compact, pragmatic system that Gustavo Alfaro has Paraguay playing.
Germany come into this game on the back of a 2-1 win over Ivory Coast at home in the FIFA World Cup Group E followed by a 2-1 loss away to Ecuador in the second group match.
Paraguay's Group D performance was the opposite of Germany's with a 1-0 win over Turkey away followed by a 0-0 draw with Australia at home. They are also a much more erratic team with four wins, two draws and four defeats in their last ten games in all competitions.
Germany to outplay Paraguay
Germany are the clear favorite to win this game at 1.45 while Paraguay are a huge underdog at 8.15 with the draw coming in at a whopping 4.97. The odds tell us that Germany are the much more likely winner in this one, but Paraguay will do well to make it competitive if they get it into their own half and keep it there.
This Germany vs Paraguay preview also suggests that the draw seems a little too large here for a side that have won three, drawn one and lost four of their eight away matches in all competitions this calendar year. In contrast, Germany are perfect at home with five wins from five, no draws and no defeats across all competitions.
Under 2.5 goals at 2.04 and Both Teams To Score - No at 1.75 look like the best plays to make on this matchup given how Germany's attacking, counter-pressing, half-space overloads can dominate opponents while Paraguay sit deep, play narrow and hunt for counters and set pieces.
A home win should be expected, however, as Paraguay's away numbers across all competitions this term are 1.12 goals scored per-game and 1.62 goals conceded per-game, suggesting they will be vulnerable to Germany's counter attack.
Deniz Undav has been in great form for Germany this year with five goals in his last five outings, making Germany vs Paraguay betting tips point strongly toward the hosts. A home team with 21 goals in their last five can get a couple of goals against a deep Paraguay.
Germany vs Paraguay prediction favors Germany to win, and Germany beat Paraguay in their only previous meeting at the FIFA World Cup in 2002, so that's a little more tournament history to back up the play on a Germany win.
