- FK Zalgiris Vilnius have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- HNK Hajduk Split have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 games in all competitions.
- Hajduk Split's Michele Sego has scored 3 goals in his last 5 appearances.
Don't count on Hajduk's odds-on win
HNK Hajduk Split are favorites at 1.78 to win at FK Zalgiris Vilnius on Thursday, but there is enough to suggest the hosts are good value at 4.25 in this FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split preview for this qualification play-off to reach the UEFA Conference League.
The bookmakers aren't being unreasonable in their support for the visitors, who have won three and lost two of their last five going into this match. But Hajduk are yet to win on the road in any competition, drawing twice and losing three times in their last five on the move.
Žalgiris are in great shape, winning four of their last five and arriving on the back of a two-match winning streak. Andrius Skerla's team have been a tough nut to crack at home, going undefeated in their last four outings at LFF Stadium, winning four times and drawing none.
Lithuanian side look compact and solid
This match is a classic contrast of styles, with a game of control and counter-punch on the cards unless Split can press Žalgiris into errors. The home side are very compact and Skerla's men will look to keep it tight before hitting on the counterattack.
Gonzalo Garcia's men are more fluid, playing with width and pressing higher up the field to try to make the most of their superior pace and fitness. They have scored three times and conceded six in their three European matches, while they conceded two in the 2-1 away defeat to MSK Zilina and four in the 4-0 defeat to Pafos FC.
A 2-0 home win over Pafos FC was followed by a 4-0 away defeat to the same Cypriot side in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 last month, so the FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split betting tips point to the draw odds of 3.65 looking very tempting.
Both Teams To Score a sensible play
Over 2.5 goals at 1.67, but the sensible play for sideliners must be Both Teams to Score: Yes at 1.6.
Nikola Petkovic is Žalgiris' primary threat right now with five goals in four UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 appearances. He has scored seven times in their last five, a run in which they put 15 past the opposition.
Sego has been a reliable finisher for Hajduk, netting three of their 10 in the last five as they have picked up four wins, two draws and four defeats. With both sides carrying a goal threat, this could turn into a heated game, but FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction still leans toward Hajduk as the likelier winner.
