- Atalanta have won three of their last five games. Hapoel Tel-Aviv have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last 10 matches. Hapoel Tel-Aviv have won once, drawn twice and lost twice in five away matches across all competitions.
La Dea have a long way to go
Atalanta Bergamo enter Thursday's UEFA Conference League qualification tie as heavy favorites against Hapoel Tel-Aviv and it's a fair assumption given they have won their last two matches in a row. The 3-0 away win over FC Schalke 04 followed by a 1-0 home victory against Athletic Bilbao last time out was a back-to-back performance that was the ultimate declaration of intent to the rest of the contenders for UEFA's third international club competition in 2026. This Atalanta Bergamo vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv preview suggests the hosts are well placed to control the tie.
Maurizio Sarri's possession-first approach is still in its early days but they look to have established a way to play that should see them build pressure, rather than explode into the opponent's penalty area with the first pass. Sarri's men have won two, drawn one and lost two of five home matches across all competitions this season, so they are not dominant, but they are steady.
The big difference between these two sides is the quality of their players, with Nikola Krstovic having been La Dea's spark in the box of late with three of their eight goals in the last five coming from his foot. Sarri's side should have the patience to break Hapoel down as they have averaged 1.20 goals per home match across all competitions so far, scoring six goals in five matches, making Atalanta Bergamo vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv prediction an appealing angle for the home side.
The Reds will get a goal
Elyaniv Barda has had a different blueprint for the way his Hapoel side should play in this competition and they have stuck to it pretty well. The Reds have been very good at counter-attacking when the space opens up on the break and the midfield has done an outstanding job of screening the back four. But they are a team that goes to places, rather than a side that dominates them.
Their recent results in all competitions are a fair reflection of the kind of team they are - they drew 2-2 with PFC Ludogorets Razgrad in their away match, trounced GKS Dospel Katowice 2-0 before losing away to the same side 2-1 in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026. Emmanuel Boateng is their main threat with two goals in four UCLQ games, but the whole team scores. For those considering Atalanta Bergamo vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv betting tips, the visitors' ability to nick a goal cannot be ignored.
Sarri vs Barda in a control vs counter-attack clash
Atalanta should win this game but Hapoel have a good record of getting goals when they travel and could catch the Italians on the counter when Sarri's team inevitably get caught upfield. So take Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 and BTTS - Yes at 2.1, but note that BTTS - No is still slightly shorter at 1.65. Overall, Atalanta Bergamo vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv prediction points to a home win with goals at both ends.
