- Team form: FC Toulouse are the form favorites to beat ES Troyes AC on Sunday.
- Player form: Casper Tengstedt has scored 3 goals in 3 games in Ligue 1 2026/2027.
- Creative stats: Cristian Casseres Jr. has 4 assists in 5 games in Ligue 1 2026/2027.
Toulouse are the clear favourites to beat Troyes
FC Toulouse vs ES Troyes AC preview suggests that FC Toulouse are the odds-on favorites at 1.66 for Sunday's Ligue 1 2026-2027 clash against ES Troyes AC at the Stadium de Toulouse. Les Violets have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five league games, and they come into this matchup on the back of a 3-0 road win at Le Mans that followed a 2-2 draw at Monaco.
ES Troyes AC are 17th with four points from seven games in Ligue 1 2026-2027 and the relegation battle is beginning to take hold of the club. Stephane Dumont's side are winless in five (D1, L4) and have lost their last two at home to Marseille and Lens, leaving them in a precarious position.
The contrast in playing styles should ensure that this is a feisty matchup in the midfield, but Toulouse's more aggressive style of pressing and controlling the game should pin Troyes back for long periods of time. Les Troyens' compact and youthful team are built to press and counter in transition, so there is a clear difference between the teams that should be exploited.
Toulouse can edge this one
Manager impact
Jens Berthel Askou has done an excellent job since taking charge of Toulouse on 1st July 2026, turning Les Violets into an energetic, pressing side that are extremely flexible tactically and can hurt any team in the league when they get it right.
Form and players
FC Toulouse vs ES Troyes AC prediction points to Toulouse will fancy their chances to take all three points against Troyes and they have the firepower to do it, as Casper Tengstedt and Cristian Casseres Jr. have both found their feet since the start of the new season.
FC Toulouse vs ES Troyes AC betting tips also lean toward the home side making the difference.
- The Swedish forward has scored three goals in three games for Toulouse, hitting five of their last ten strikes in his last five appearances.
- Antoine Mille has been Troyes' main man in Ligue 1 2026/2027, but with just one goal in his five outings he needs some help at the top end of the pitch.
- As such, both teams to score is available at 1.57, but we're going for a cleaner lean on Toulouse to win & no for both teams to score at 2.25.
Home advantage can make all the difference
Toulouse are 9th in Ligue 1 2026-2027 with nine points from their first seven matches, a solid start for Les Violets that has put them right in the middle of the table. They are a better team at home with one win and two defeats, so there is room for improvement there and they will be expected to do a little better than their average of 1.00 goals per game at the Stadium and 1.67 goals per game conceded.
FC Toulouse vs ES Troyes AC prediction remains that Troyes have won one and lost two of their three away league games in Ligue 1 2026-2027, averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded, which is why we think this one could be close. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.6 and that is an interesting bet, but FC Toulouse vs ES Troyes AC prediction is still sticking with the home side to win this matchup against an out-of-sorts Troyes.
