- BSC Young Boys Bern have won both of the last two Swiss Super League head-to-head meetings, including a 1-0 home win two months ago.
- FC Lugano have won just one of their last five Swiss Super League matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats).
- BSC Young Boys Bern have failed to win their last three away matches against FC Lugano.
European places at stake in Swiss season finale
Seven points separate third-placed BSC Young Boys Bern (60 points from 37 games) from fourth-placed FC Lugano in the Swiss Super League and the result of Saturday’s clash could be pivotal in deciding which of these two clubs will secure a European berth next season. This FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys Bern prediction will be key for both teams' hopes.
Newly-appointed boss Giorgio Contini has clearly impressed upon his side the way he wants them to play and Young Boys come into this game on the back of a two-game winning streak. They hammered Basel 6-2 at home in their most recent outing and have scored ten goals in their past five games.
Young Boys’ style is an expansive, possession-based system with lots of pressing and swift, attacking transitions. Cedric Itten has been a key man in their 4-2-3-1 system, notching three goals in his last four league games. Christian Fassnacht is another danger man for the visitors with three goals in his most recent five appearances.
Lugano look to counter-attack
Mattia Croci-Torti has overseen a more pragmatic approach at FC Lugano since taking the reins in September 2021. The home team are built on a defensive structure with a counter-attacking system that will press selectively and look to hurt opponents with pace on the break.
Lugano have scored 32 goals in 18 home league games this season, which equates to an average of 1.78 per-game and they’ll be hoping that Anto Grgic, who has notched two goals in four league appearances, can continue his hot streak here. Moreover, our FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys Bern preview provides insight into how Lugano's approach could impact the outcome.
Young BSC are the better bet
Lugano have won nine of their 18 home league matches this season (D4, L5) and BSC Young Boys Bern have won just four of their 18 away trips (D5, L9). The visitors are also the favorites at +142, while a home victory is priced at +164 and the Draw at +280.
We feel that Young Boys have been the better team over the course of the campaign and Contini has certainly breathed new life into the squad. Given that the favourites have also scored ten in their previous five, the FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys Bern prediction is that they could have the firepower to edge out a close match on Saturday.
However, the two sides clearly possess contrasting styles and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Young Boys press high in an attempt to force Lugano into defensive mistakes. The home side have only scored five goals in their most-recent matches though and so ‘Both Teams to Score – Yes’ at -129 looks the best value wager in this matchup, according to our FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys Bern betting tips.