- Killie are 11th with 13 points from 21 games, Livingston are bottom with nine from 20.
- Livingston are on a four-game losing streak after suffering back-to-back defeats.
- Kilmarnock have conceded an average of 1.90 goals per game in 10 Premiership away games this season (Won 1, Drawn 4, Lost 5).
Survival battle to go down to the wire
FC Livingston and Kilmarnock look set to fight until the bitter end in their efforts to avoid relegation from the Premiership 2025/2026 and Saturday’s clash could be a tight and nervy affair. In this FC Livingston vs Kilmarnock preview, no one knows which way this game will go and the odds-makers can’t even decide which club they favour, listing Livi as slight favorites at 2.22 in the match odds market. These are two of the worst teams in the league, each without a win in five, so the draw and under 2.5 goals market at 1.65 seems the most attractive play.
Livi have gone five without a victory, losing four and drawing one, after a 1-3 home defeat to Dundee United and 1-0 reverse at Hearts. The FC Livingston vs Kilmarnock prediction is further clouded by the fact that Killie have also gone five games without a triumph, losing four and drawing one, following back-to-back defeats at the hands of Dundee FC and Hibernian and a 0-0 away draw at St. Mirren.
Livi look to Bokila for goals
Livi boss David Martindale has been the most pragmatic manager in the Scottish Premiership since arriving at the Tony Macaroni Arena in December 2020. He sets up his side in a 4-3-3 or 4-4-1-1 formation with a strong emphasis on defending and set pieces as well as counter-attacking when possible.
Livingston’s main goal source this season has been the versatile Jeremy Bokila, who has five Premiership goals in 18 appearances, while Cristian Montano has chipped in with two in Livi’s last five games.
Killie have had a revolving door for their managerial role over the past couple of years with new boss Neil McCann only appointed in January 2026. Our FC Livingston vs Kilmarnock prediction notes that the Ayrshire club have favoured a back three with wing-backs for width while allowing their full backs to build-up from the back in a patient style of play after Stuart Kettlewell was sacked.
Kettlewell’s Killie can edge it
Bruce Anderson is Killie’s top scorer in the Premiership with only three goals in 21 games, but Tyreece John-Jules is in form with two of Killie’s last three goals. But there isn’t much goal power in either side’s forward lines, so a low-scoring draw may be the most likely result - and the one we are covering in our main bet, along with our FC Livingston vs Kilmarnock betting tips.
Livi are winless in the last five Premiership meetings, although the last one at Rugby Park in December was a 2-2 draw. Killie have won three of the previous five clashes and may just be able to find a way to edge this one on the road.
Livingston’s home form has been dire - with one win, two draws and six defeats in their nine Premiership home games this term - conceding 19 goals along the way. Kilmarnock’s away record is only marginally better with one win, four draws and five defeats and an average of 1.90 concessions per game.
It will be interesting to see what sort of tactical changes McCann makes in this game against a side that has a counter-attacking style that could cause problems for Killie’s wing-backs. Set-pieces and second-ball play could decide this and we are taking the draw as the prime bet with a small stakes bet on a 1-0 home win, reflecting the fact that Livi have lost six of their nine home games while Killie have won only one of their 10 on the road. This FC Livingston vs Kilmarnock prediction highlights just how finely balanced Saturday’s encounter is.