- FC Arouca have won 5, tied 3 and lost 6 of their 14 home games this season, conceding 27 goals in the Primeira Liga.
- Estrela Amadora have won 2, tied 5 and lost 7 of their 14 away games this campaign, averaging 0.93 goals per game on the road.
- Estrela have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, losing both of their previous two matches.
Arouca to edge a tight contest
Our FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora preview highlights that both teams will be looking to pick up a crucial win in the Primeira Liga 2025-2026 season on Sunday as they sit 12th and 13th respectively in the table on 32 and 28 points after 29 games.
Arouca have won two and lost three of their last five games - a run which includes a 3-2 home win over Estoril and a 1-0 loss away to Braga. Estrela are enduring a poor run of form having won one, tied one and lost three of their recent five, while they have lost back-to-back games.
The hosts are a fast-paced team who like to compact their defensive block and use transitions to move the ball forward quickly. This FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora prediction is influenced by their pace to break on the counter attack and selective pressing to regain the ball in the offensive half. They have enough variety in their attack to hurt teams but they’ve been guilty of conceding too many goals - 27 in 14 home games.
Estrela are a pragmatic side who are well organised and always looking to preserve their shape and structure. They like to keep a narrow midfield structure to ensure that they are covered at the back while they try to be disciplined in their play. The visitors are much more of a counter attack side and Joao Nuno, who took charge at the helm in September 2025, has added to their pragmatic approach.
Back a home victory
Estrela have won twice, tied five times and lost seven times in 14 away games this term, while they are winless in their two previous trips to Arouca. This FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora prediction also factors in the visitors' struggles to find the net on the road this term, so we think the hosts can get the win here.
Alfonso Trezza leads the way for Arouca this season with eight goals in 27 Primeira Liga games, but Ivan Barbero has scored two in his last five and is on a good run of goals. For those interested in FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora betting tips, Estrela’s Kikas leads the goal charts with six in 17 games, but Rodrigo Pinho has been crucial in recent weeks, scoring three of Estrela’s last seven goals.
Arouca make more appeal here at 2.1 and we’re happy to back that along with the Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 and Both Teams to Score at 1.7. Both sides should score but Arouca are a good bet to nick it at home.
