- Fagiano Okayama have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five.
- Machida Zelvia have won two, drawn one and lost two of their five matches.
- Fagiano Okayama have won five, drawn two and lost just two of their 9 home games in J League 2025, conceding just 0.56 goals per game.
Mid-table matchup with big implications
Just 2 points separate 7th place Machida from 12th-placed Fagiano in J League 2025, so Sunday’s game has big implications for both clubs as they look to build momentum in the middle of the table. Just 17 games into the season, our Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia prediction highlights that Fagiano have picked up 22 points, two fewer than the visitors, but the odds are in favour of Machida at +116, while the home side are +290.
Machida have played with an aggressive, attacking mindset since Go Kuroda took over as manager in February 2023. They press high and in numbers and deploy a variety of flexible formations, such as a 4-3-3, that allow them to dominate the ball and transition quickly from defense to attack. Takuma Nishimura has been their main source of goals this term, netting 5 times in 13 games in the J League 2025.
Fagiano, meanwhile, have been more measured and methodical since Takashi Kiyama took over as coach in February 2022. In this Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia preview, it’s notable that Fagiano are more likely to line up in a 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 formation as they try to keep things compact and defend solidly. Ryunosuke Sato, with three goals in 12 games, leads the line for Fagiano and is their most reliable source of offense.
An open game is expected
Machida will come at Fagiano with a lot of intensity and their 3-0 victory over Kashiwa Reysol was a good example of the damage they can inflict on opponents when they play at their best.
Fagiano, meanwhile, have been more solid, as shown in their 2-1 win at home to Albirex Niigata.
However, they will be disappointed by a 2-0 defeat at Kashiwa Reysol.
Both teams have recorded one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three home or away matches respectively and it would be a surprise if this game wasn’t similarly tight.
However, Machida have an impressive away record, and this Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia prediction is reinforced by their 3-0 win, combined with their 3-1 away win over Fagiano in the J2 League 2023, as it gives them the mental edge in this game.
Backing the BTTS market looks good given the nature of Machida’s game and their 3-0 victory, according to these Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia betting tips.
There is a chance they can hold out against Machida, but this could well develop into a tactical battle with both teams trying to outdo each other in terms of tactics.