- Bahia’s home record in Serie A 2025 is nine wins, three draws and one defeat.
- Gremio Porto Alegrense RS have won three and lost seven of their 14 away matches in Serie A 2025.
- Bahia have won both of the last two meetings between the clubs, including a 2-0 away win in Serie A 2024.
Bahia can make a strong home advantage pay
EC Bahia are odds-on favorites to win against mid-table Gremio Porto Alegrense RS on Sunday because of their superior home form and recent dominance of the head-to-head record.
Rogerio Ceni’s men are sixth in Serie A 2025 after taking 43 points from 26 games and have been generally better at home than away.
Bahia have won nine, drawn three and lost only one of their 13 home Serie A games. Bahia have also won their last two home games, including a solid 1-0 win over Flamengo.
Our EC Bahia vs Gremio Porto Alegrense RS prediction is influenced by the fact that Bahia are a positive possession side who like to press the ball and attack with numbers, particularly in the first half when they are at their fastest. Willian Jose has been their key man in the recent games with two goals in the last five and Bahia have some really good wide players who suit Ceni’s high-tempo style.
Gremio are a pragmatic bunch
Gremio sit 13th in the table with 33 points from 27 games and are coming off a home win over Vitoria, a draw at Santos and a narrow away defeat to Red Bull Bragantino.
Mano Menezes has been in charge since April and brought a more pragmatic, defensively solid approach to the club.
Gremio’s away record in Serie A 2025 is not great, with only three wins and seven defeats from 14 trips.
Franco Cristaldo is the anchor of their midfield, which has a real counter-attacking style about it with Martin Braithwaite always available up front.
Gremio’s average of 1.07 goals per game away from home and 1.57 goals conceded per trip in 2025 suggests they are both vulnerable and capable of scoring a goal.
The visitors have failed to beat Bahia in their last two trips north and this EC Bahia vs Gremio Porto Alegrense RS preview suggests it should be a pretty cagey game, with Bahia’s pressing and wide overloads likely to be the key to deciding it in their favor.
The bookmakers have Under 2.5 goals at 1.65, which seems about right for what is likely to be a low-scoring contest featuring two clubs with contrasting styles. On top of that, this EC Bahia vs Gremio Porto Alegrense RS prediction is further backed by both teams’ current form.
Our EC Bahia vs Gremio Porto Alegrense RS betting tips suggest a tight encounter, with Bahia’s home advantage making them slight favorites to edge a low-scoring affair.
