- Bahia have won three, drawn four and lost two of their nine home Serie A 2026 matches.
- Bahia have scored 14 goals in their nine Serie A 2026 home games.
Bahia can find some breathing space in bottom three battle
Bahia are the 1.4 favorites to win Friday's Serie A 2026 clash against Chapecoense SC with the visitors 7.5 big long shots and the draw at 4.85, which reflects the gap between the teams in the standings in this EC Bahia vs Chapecoense SC preview. Bahia sit 6th with 26 points from 17 games while Chapecoense are 20th with nine, but there is also a tactical aspect to this fixture.
Rogério Ceni has made a good job of Bahia since taking over on 13 September 2023, moulding a side that sets up in a 4-3-3 system and tries to dominate the ball and press high. Their recent results have been a mixed bag of one win, one draw and three defeats, but they are always in the game with good vertical transitions and pressing coordination, which is why the EC Bahia vs Chapecoense SC prediction points towards a controlled home performance.
Chapecoense have had a more modest campaign under Rafael Lacerda, who took charge on 30 May 2026. He has built a pragmatic, compact and counter-driven side, but they will find it hard to break down Bahia's organisation.
Home win and under 2.5 goals has a lot of value
Chapecoense's two most recent Serie A 2026 games have been a 2-1 away defeat to Cruzeiro and a 1-0 defeat to Palmeiras, so they don't have good momentum heading into this game. Bahia have played two games - a 3-2 defeat away to Coritiba and a 2-1 home win over Botafogo - which isn't their ideal preparation.
But Bahia should still hold the edge from a performance standpoint as they have the edge in all departments. Chapecoense's best chance of getting a result will be to keep the game tight and try to break out in transition, although Bahia are good enough to prevent that happening for too long.
Bahia's recent home form in all current competitions is one win, one draw and one defeat across their last three, but this will be their best opportunity to get three points on the board. Chapecoense are 0-1-2 in their last three away games in all competitions and have lost six of their eight Serie A 2026 road games this season, so a Bahia victory looks a sure thing.
But a more profitable angle is to bet on a Bahia win and under 2.5 because Lacerda's men have a compact style of play that should make the score low while BTTS-NO at 1.84 looks sharp too, and the EC Bahia vs Chapecoense SC betting tips also favour the hosts in a low-scoring contest. The EC Bahia vs Chapecoense SC prediction remains a home win with limited goals.
