- Deportivo Morón are the second-strongest team in Primera Nacional 2026 with 41 points from 23 games, while Almagro are 21st with 30 points from 24.
- Morón are a formidable home team in Primera Nacional 2026, so they're the obvious favorites.
- Morón have conceded just 0.58 goals per game at home in Primera Nacional 2026, while scoring 2.00 per game.
Hosts the clear favorites
Deportivo Morón will be the obvious choice for many at 1.64, but the odds of 3.2 on the draw and 5.86 for away win Almagro are a lot more interesting when we consider that the visitors are unbeaten in their last two Primera Nacional 2026 meetings with Moron. Almagro claimed a 2-0 victory in the home match four months ago, which suggests there is a little bit of a tricky edge to this game, and that makes the Deportivo Moron vs Almagro prediction less straightforward than the prices suggest.
Morón are 2nd in Primera Nacional 2026, 11 points clear of Almagro in 21st place, and they are certainly worthy favorites with their outstanding home record of nine wins and three draws in 12 matches making them a true fortress. However, the hosts have failed to win either of the last two meetings with Almagro and Walter Otta's men are a little shaky in their most recent five matches.
Almagro have two wins, four draws and six defeats away from home in Primera Nacional 2026, so they head into this match as rank outsiders and their recent results have been mixed to poor. The visitors have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches, which is a sequence that reads: 1-1 with Ferro Carril Midland, 0-2 to Gimnasia y Tiro and 1-1 at Quilmes. Carlos Mayor's team have been in a more pragmatic and compact shape of late, happy to sit deep, stay disciplined and counter-attack when the occasion presents itself. This Deportivo Moron vs Almagro preview points to a contest where patience could be just as important as quality.
Morón's momentum at home should see them through
Deportivo Morón should win this, but Almagro have the kind of low-block and stubborn make-up that will make them a tough nut to crack and the last couple of head-to-heads suggest they will give it a real good go. The under 2.5 goals at 1.41 and Both Teams To Score - No at 1.47 look excellent options for this match as Morón have the firepower to see this out and keep things in control. For more value, these Deportivo Moron vs Almagro betting tips lean toward a tight home win rather than a high-scoring affair.
Franco Fagundez has been Morón's talisman with ten Primera Nacional 2026 goals in 21 appearances and three of their last ten strikes have come in the past five games. Mateo Benegas has been Almagro's main man with five goals in 22 matches, but Joel Orlando has chipped in with two of their last five goals to keep them ticking over. Overall, the Deportivo Moron vs Almagro prediction remains that the hosts should edge it, even if the visitors make life difficult.
