- Club Atletico Guemes have taken one point from their last five matches, losing four, and averaging 0.92 goals per game at home in Primera Nacional 2026.
- Atletico de Rafaela have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five in all competitions.
Güemes in a rut
Guemes are in a slump and coach Pablo Guinazu, who has been in charge since 20 May 2026, appears to be short on ideas as to how to get his team out of it. Our Club Atletico Guemes vs Atletico de Rafaela prediction suggests that El Gaucho are now averaging 0.92 goals per home game after a 3-0 defeat at Agropecuario and a 1-1 draw away to Club Atletico Mitre last week.
Guemes have won four, drawn two and lost six at home in Primera Nacional 2026 and are 36th in the table on 20 points from 24 games, while Rafaela are 15th with 35 points from 25 games.
Juan Sotelo is their danger man with nine goals in 18 games, and he has scored three of their last three goals, and his team looks a bit short on confidence and conviction right now.
Rafaela are in a groove
Fernando Quiroz has taken Rafaela into a groove since he took over on 15 July 2026, and his setup is compact, pragmatic and built for transition play. La Crema like to sit in a narrow block at the back, sitting deep and breaking fast when space opens.
It's a classic possession versus counter-attack game and Rafaela will have to deal with the wide areas as the game develops, which could decide who gets the crucial knock-out blow.
This prediction points to Rafaela being a shade better on the road than Guemes, with one win, five draws and six defeats in Primera Nacional 2026, but they have only scored five goals on their travels at an average of 0.42 per game. Martiniano Moreno has scored six in 22 Primera Nacional 2026 matches and gives La Crema a focal point to go to up top.
Back the visitors at the odds
Club Atletico Guemes vs Atletico de Rafaela betting tips lean toward Rafaela being 2.6 to win this and that's a much bigger price than it should be given Guemes are at 2.9 and the draw is 2.75.
La Crema's position in the standings is significantly better than Guemes, who have lost four of their last five, and Rafaela have a rhythm right now after a 1-0 win at home to Chacarita Juniors and two successive 1-1 draws.
The odds on this being a low-scoring game are very small with Under 2.5 goals at 1.42 and BTTS-NO at 1.65, so the correct play seems to be to take Rafaela to edge a close matchup.
