- Chesterfield are unbeaten in five League Two games (W3, D2) and have won their last two games.
- Notts County have won two, drawn one, and lost two of their last five League Two matches.
- The draw at 3.4, Chesterfield at 2.12, and Notts County at 3.32 are all unappealing odds for this game.
Promotion contenders’ clash to be entertaining affair
Both Chesterfield and Notts County are in good form, but it’s the home side who have the edge going into this high-stakes clash. Paul Cook’s men are unbeaten in their last five games, having won their last two, and come into this game as the form team. In this Chesterfield vs Notts County preview, we assess the key strengths that both sides bring to the pitch.
Chesterfield have won two and drawn one of their last three home games, while Notts County have won one and lost one of their last two on the road. Chesterfield are a possession-based team with a well-knit system to unlock their opponents and will look to break down the opposition before moving the ball quickly into the middle third or making a run down the line.
Cook’s side will need to be very patient as they look to control the game and force Notts County into a chase, but the directness of the visitors may mean that this clash isn’t as tight as our Chesterfield vs Notts County prediction compared to the last meeting seven weeks ago.
Cook’s team are playing their best soccer
Lee Bonis is the main man up top for Chesterfield with 12 goals in 45 League Two appearances this season and he has scored four of their last eight. This Chesterfield vs Notts County prediction also takes into account that Martin Paterson’s Notts County are more direct than the hosts and look to play with a higher tempo; their ball dominance means they can play vertical passes to break the lines of the defence, but they are just as dangerous on the counterattack.
The Magpies have the same number of away wins as Chesterfield, but with four draws and eight losses, they've conceded 27 goals in 23 away games this season. Alassana Jatta is the danger man for Notts County with 15 goals in 31 League Two outings, but Lucas Ness has chipped in with two goals in their last five.
High-stakes encounter should go the way of the hosts
With 11 wins, eight draws, and just four losses on home turf in League Two, Chesterfield have a strong home record in the fourth-tier. They average 1.04 goals per-game conceded at home and have been playing some of their best football of the season, so the 2.12 price on them looks generous.
However, with Notts County in mixed form, I’m looking for value elsewhere. For the best Chesterfield vs Notts County betting tips, note that they average 3.0 and 2.7 goals scored per-game, respectively, when facing each other.
With the intensity of a playoff semi-final, this should be an end-to-end game, so ‘Over 2.5 goals’ looks good at 1.89. I expect Chesterfield to edge it given their home form, recent H2H results, and the fact their style of soccer is the better way to play against Notts County, although it won’t be easy against a County side that will be competitive. Our final Chesterfield vs Notts County prediction is that the hosts just edge this exciting tie.
