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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Aston Villa logo
2 - 1
Full-Time
Burnley logo
Premier League
England
/
Premier League
/
Villa Park

vs
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Aston Villa vs Burnley Predictions

  • Villa have won two and tied one of their last three games in all competitions (W2 D1).
  • Burnley are winless in their last five in all competitions (D1, L4).
  • Villa have scored 3 goals in their three home Premier League games.
In-form Villans face a test
Aston Villa currently occupy 16th place in the Premier League table with six points from six games while Burnley sit two places and two points behind in 18th. Villans have won their two previous meetings with Burnley, including a 3-2 home win in the Premier League last season. The hosts can continue their winning streak against the Clarets on Sunday and, according to the Aston Villa vs Burnley prediction, will justify the 1.57 favourites' odds if they can, although Burnley will make a tough test for Unai Emery’s side.
Emery to outsmart Parker
The Spaniard is perhaps more tactically astute than any other Premier League manager at present and his ability to change his team’s formation and approach from game to game to suit the opponent at hand has helped Villa to maintain their momentum in a busy early-season schedule. He has overseen some fine performances from Villa already, notably the 3-1 win over Fulham last weekend in the league, and his most consistent goal threat remains Emiliano Buendia, who has one goal in five appearances in the Premier League this term. Burnley, who have been much more pragmatic under Scott Parker, will look to counter Villa by keeping it tight, staying compact and hitting their opponents on the counter or from set pieces. This Aston Villa vs Burnley preview suggests it’s a simple, but effective gameplan but Parker’s players have struggled in recent weeks. Jaidon Anthony is Burnley’s top scorer with four goals in six league appearances and has scored two of the club’s five goals in their last five games, making him a worthy anytime goalscorer wager here.
Burnley are a big underdog
Parker’s tactics have yet to produce an away win and have kept Burnley competitive in games when they have been behind. According to our Aston Villa vs Burnley betting tips, they are a 5.75 underdog here and Villa should be able to break them down at some point, although Parker’s team will always carry a threat to score on the break. Villa have been a much more open side under Emery and their ability to play quick, vertical passes through the middle, or to overrun opponents with central overloads, should see them edge out the visitors. The Aston Villa vs Burnley prediction is that home advantage should ensure the Villans gain the full three points here, while the Over 2.5 goals market at 1.78 appeals given Villa’s home goals per game average of 1.00 and Burnley’s leaky away defense, having conceded 11 goals in 3 road games.

Aston Villa vs Burnley Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.56
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Aston Villa
    Won
    Explanation
    • Aston Villa beat Burnley in both recent head-to-heads (3-2 and 3-1) and now hosts the match, giving an edge.
    • Playing at home Aston Villa averages 1.0 goals and recently won 3-1, while Burnley concedes 11 goals away (3.67 avg).
    • Aston Villa is in steadier form (W D D recently) whereas Burnley has suffered more defeats overall (4 losses), favoring home.
  • Tipped at
    1.82
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches with Burnley average 3.17 goals overall and a very high 4.67 goals when they play away, pointing to over 2.5.
    • Their head-to-head meetings ended 3-2 and 3-1, showing direct encounters between these teams tend to be high scoring.
    • Aston Villa home games average 2.33 total goals and their recent home win was 3-1, supporting expectation of more than 2.5 goals.
  • Tipped at
    1.88
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • Both recent head-to-heads saw both teams score (3-2 and 3-1), suggesting goals at both ends in this matchup.
    • Burnley has both teams scoring in 42.86% of matches and 50% of their away games, so they often concede and still score.
    • Aston Villa scored 3 in its latest home win (3-1) and has shown ability to both score and concede at home, favoring BTTS yes.

Aston Villa vs Burnley Live Stats

Aston Villa vs Burnley Live Stats

  • Possession
    55
    45
  • Total Shots
    15
    5
  • Shots On Target
    7
    2
  • Shots Off Target
    5
    1
  • Corners
    6
    4
  • Crosses
    13
    13
  • Yellow Cards
    3
    1
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    20
    12
  • Offsides
    3
    5
  • Fouls Committed
    9
    15
  • Counterattacks
    3
    1
  • GK Saves
    1
    5
  • Goal Kicks
    2
    9
  • Throw Ins
    8
    16
  • Treatments
    1
    5
  • Substitutions
    6
    5
Aston Villa logo

Last 14 H2H matches

  • 7
    Won
  • 5
    Draw
  • 2
    Won
Burnley logo

Aston Villa vs Burnley Last Matches

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Aston Villa vs Burnley Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
4
Team Logo Aston Villa
56 38
19
Team Logo Burnley
38 38

Player Statistics

Name
Ollie Watkins
16 3 4 0 37 2839
Morgan Rogers
10 6 7 0 37 3280
Emiliano Buendia
6 2 6 0 36 1754
John McGinn
5 4 5 0 30 2137
Donyell Malen
4 1 0 0 21 655

Premier League Standings

4
The Aston Villa logo
38 19 8 11 56:49 65
19
The Burnley logo
38 4 10 24 38:75 22
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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