- At home in the Eredivisie, AZ Alkmaar have 3 wins, 2 draws and only 1 defeat from 6 matches.
- Go Ahead Eagles have lost their last 2 away games.
AZ a long odds in this Sunday’s Eredivisie battle
AZ Alkmaar are heavy favorites with the oddsmakers to see off Go Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie 2025-2026 on Sunday, but the visitors will be optimistic about their chances at AFAS Stadion after stunning the Alkmaarders 5-3 here in the KNVB Cup seven months ago. The hosts are certainly the better side on paper, but our AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction is that Go Ahead can be a dangerous opponent when they play at their best.
Maarten Martens’ men, who operate in a fluid 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 system, have been playing some good soccer since the Dutch boss arrived in January 2024. They are the league’s most possession-based side and play a more direct, vertical game than many of their Eredivisie rivals and their pressing game is also well-organised and controlled.
AZ are having a good Eredivisie campaign so far, occupying fourth spot with 24 points from 14 games, and they’ve been strong at home, winning three, drawing two and losing one of their six games at AFAS Stadion. The AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles preview notes that the Alkmaarders thumped Irish Premier Division side Shelbourne FC 2-0 here in the UEFA Conference League, but were beaten 1-0 by FC Twente in their most recent Eredivisie away fixture.
They are a little less consistent than usual at the moment with only one win and four defeats from their last five matches in all competitions, but the quality of their attack is beyond question with Troy Parrott leading the line and Sven Mijnans contributing two of their last five goals. Considering the current form, this AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction suggests a closely contested encounter could be on the cards.
Alkmaar can’t be trusted at 1.42
Go Ahead Eagles are a completely different type of team to AZ, preferring to stay compact in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 system, and are more reactive than proactive with their play. Melvin Boel has begun to install a more pressing, transition game since taking charge in July 2025, but they remain a side that sets up to be organised and defensively disciplined.
Go Ahead Eagles are 10th in the table after 14 games with 17 points, which is around about where they have been in recent seasons. A 4-0 home defeat to VfB Stuttgart in the UEFA Europa League was followed by a 2-2 draw with FC Utrecht last weekend in their most recent Eredivisie match.
Goals have been a problem for the Eagles, but not for their main forward Mathis Suray, who has bagged five in 14 league appearances this term, including two in his last five. It is the quality in defence that has let them down, shipping 15 goals in their seven Eredivisie away trips this season, where they have won once, drawn twice and lost four times.
AZ to win and over 2.5 goals is our main play for this game at a price of 1.42 as the hosts have been less reliable than usual at home recently, winning one and losing once in their last two. Go Ahead Eagles have lost their last two away games, so the AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction looks favourable for Martens’ men to eventually come out on top. But the Eagles’ recent win in the KNVB Cup will still be fresh in their minds and we think they can get on the scoresheet. The AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles betting tips also recommend the Over 2.5 market at 1.36 given the high-scoring nature of this fixture over the last few years.
