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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Ayr United logo
1 - 0
Full-Time
Arbroath logo
Championship
Scotland
/
Championship
/
Somerset Park

Ayr United
vs
Arbroath
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Ayr United vs Arbroath Predictions

  • Ayr United are in poor form, failing to win any of their last five (D2, L3).
  • Arbroath have drawn one and lost one in their last two away matches (D1, L1).
  • No win for Arbroath in their last five meetings with Ayr United (W0, D3, L2).
Arbroath are a tough team to break down
Ayr United are 6th in the Championship 2025-2026 with 36 points from 31 games, while Arbroath are third with 47 points from 32, and the hosts have managed only 3 wins in 15 home matches (W3, D7, L5). Arbroath are a structured, disciplined and organised side that sit deep in a compact shape and look to be solid at the back, focusing on organisation, set pieces and quick counter-attacks. Our Ayr United vs Arbroath prediction is influenced by the fact that Ayr are more flexible and can play a possession-based game, but they have been pressing with more urgency since John Rankin was appointed in late March 2026 and have been trying to find a winning formula.
Midfield battle could rule the day
Arbroath’s away record in the Championship 2025-2026 is W5, D4 and L7 and they have scored an average of 1.00 goals per-game on the road and conceded an average of 1.25. Findlay Marshall, with 11 goals in 32 Championship games, is the one Arbroath player who is a constant threat on the counter attack and in the penalty area from set pieces. This Ayr United vs Arbroath preview highlights that Ayr have scored just 16 goals in 15 home matches this season and will struggle to create space to break down Arbroath’s disciplined shape, and will surely set up to frustrate the hosts on Saturday.
Sides unlikely to be separated
Ayr’s top scorer Mark McKenzie has seven goals in 30 Championship matches, but he has been the spark for the Honest Men on more than one occasion, so we’ll take him to get on the scoreboard here. Given the circumstances, our Ayr United vs Arbroath betting tips suggest that this looks a tricky fixture to call as neither team has been in top form, with Ayr particularly struggling, and the draw looks the most likely outcome. Ayr are in such poor form it is hard to back them, but Arbroath have failed to win their last three away games with the Honest Men, and Ayr’s record at Somerset Park is not great either (W3, D7, L5). The Ayr United vs Arbroath prediction combined with the draw being priced at 3.2 and under 2.5 goals looks a good play at 1.7. The recent meetings between these sides have all been cagey and we’re not expecting much in the way of goals in this one, although we are going for both teams to score as, on their day, both sides can score. Both teams to score - yes - is priced at 1.8.

Ayr United vs Arbroath Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    3.16
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Draw
    Lost
    Explanation
    • In this Championship season Ayr United has drawn 15 of 31 league games, so stalemates are frequent.
    • Arbroath has just 1 win in their last 5 matches (W1 D2 L2), so they have not been decisive recently.
    • Their recent head-to-head shows 3 draws in the last 5 meetings, including two 1-1s, pointing to another draw.
  • Tipped at
    1.73
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches with Ayr United average 2.39 total goals this season, which is below or close to the 2.5 line.
    • Arbroath's games average 2.5 goals in league play, and their last five matches averaged about 2.0 goals.
    • The last five head-to-heads averaged 2.2 goals (1-1,1-1,5-0,2-0,0-0), supporting a lean to under 2.5.
  • Tipped at
    1.76
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    Yes
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Ayr United concedes at home often: both teams have scored in 66.67% of their home matches this season.
    • Arbroath has scored in 3 of their last 5 matches and averages 1.00 away goals, so they can find the net.
    • In recent meetings both sides scored in 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads, giving a reasonable chance for goals.

Ayr United vs Arbroath Live Stats

Ayr United vs Arbroath Live Stats

There is no data available for your selection
Ayr United logo

Last 35 H2H matches

  • 15
    Won
  • 10
    Draw
  • 10
    Won
Arbroath logo

Ayr United vs Arbroath Last Matches

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Ayr United vs Arbroath Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
3
Team Logo Arbroath
43 36
7
Team Logo Ayr United
38 36

Player Statistics

Name
Mark McKenzie
7 1 2 0 31 2445
Jamie Murphy
7 1 5 0 24 1732
Anton Dowds
6 1 2 0 26 1533
Ethan Walker
4 3 4 1 20 1401
Ben Dempsey
3 1 9 0 29 2292

Championship Standings

3
The Arbroath logo
Arbroath
36 13 13 10 43:41 52
7
The Ayr United logo
Ayr United
36 8 15 13 38:47 39
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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