- Almagro have won four, drawn three and lost just one of their eight Primera Nacional 2025 home games
Patronato have won two, drawn four and lost two of their last eight away Primera Nacional 2025 matches
Almagro are unbeaten in five Primera Nacional 2025 matches (Won 3, Drawn 2)
Almagro boss has instilled a solidity and structure in his side
Almagro and Patronato are level on 21 points apiece from 15 fixtures in Primera Nacional 2025 with El Tricolor sitting ninth in the standings and El Rojo in seventh on tiebreaker. Jorge Cordon’s side are priced up as -109 favorites to beat Patronato on Saturday, who are available at +245 with the draw at +215.
Both teams are tough to beat and neither are prolific scorers, which makes the Almagro vs CA Patronato prediction look valuable enough to take, but we think Almagro’s recent improvement at home and slight advantage in the odds means a close and hard-fought matchup is more likely to go the hosts’ way.
Cordon has done a great job since taking charge in April 2025, instilling a solid and structured approach that is built on organisation, discipline and patience. Midfielder Gustavo Turraca is the general on the field and has helped keep the team’s structure in place when out of possession or in transition.
Patronato play a more positive, pressing game
Patronato bring a very different approach to this clash as Gabriel Gomez has done a fine job since coming in as head coach in January 2025. El Patrón play a more vertical style with energy and press high up the pitch, using their pace on the flanks to stretch the opposition and create chances.
The Almagro vs CA Patronato preview highlights that Almagro won 2-1 at home to Patronato a year ago and have won one and lost one of the last two meetings in all competitions. Almagro are currently enjoying their best form of the season and are unbeaten in their last five Primera Nacional 2025 fixtures, while Patronato have been solid, but not as consistent with two wins, two draws and a defeat in their most recent five.
Cucchi is Almagro’s cutting edge
A close and cagey game could be on the cards with the pressure of the playoff places on both sides, but the Almagro vs CA Patronato prediction is that Almagro’s superior home record, which includes four wins, three draws and just one defeat, suggests they have enough to edge it.
Patronato have averaged 1.12 goals for and conceded 1.25 per away fixture, while Almagro have averaged just 0.62 goals per home outing. Backing under 2.5 total goals should offer some value here, given the recent scoring and conceding trends of both teams.
Patricio Cucchi has the sharpest edge in attack for Almagro with four league goals in 15 appearances, but he has been especially useful in their current unbeaten run, scoring two of the club’s five goals.
Alan Bonansea is Patronato’s go-to guy with six in 14 Primera Nacional appearances and he is in fine form, having scored three of his side’s last five goals.
With two sides who play contrasting styles and neither of which are particularly prolific, it is difficult to predict the scoreline, but according to our Almagro vs CA Patronato betting tips, we are expecting a tactical battle in which the defenses will dominate. This Almagro vs CA Patronato prediction points towards a low-scoring encounter.