Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Alianza Lima logo
2 - 1
Full-Time
UCV Moquegua logo
Liga 1 - Apertura
Peru
/
Liga 1 - Apertura

Alianza Lima
vs
UCV Moquegua
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua Predictions

  • Alianza Lima are top of the Liga 1 - Apertura table with 29 points from 12 games, having won each of their last 3 games.
  • UCV Moquegua are 9th in the table with 16 points from their first 12 fixtures.
  • Alianza Lima have a perfect home record in the Liga 1 - Apertura, winning 5 out of 5 and conceding just 2 goals.
Alianza Lima - UCV Moquegua: a tale of contrasting styles
Pablo Guede’s Alianza Lima are the runaway leaders of the Liga 1 - Apertura after a blistering start to the season. The team has looked unstoppable in the league, especially at home, and Guede’s tactical blueprint has seen the team raise its tempo and intensity, putting pressure on the opposition with a high press, fast vertical play, and aggressive play from the wings. This Sunday’s game against UCV Moquegua will be a real test of the visiting side’s resolve, however. Moquegua are an organised team under Jaime Serna, who has prioritised pragmatic play, defensive solidity and opportunism, rather than making his side the aggressors on the pitch. This Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua preview will look at how Serna’s men will look to sit deep and compact, keeping possession when they have it and looking to hit their opponents on the break or with dead-ball play.
Go for goals
This fixture will test the respective plans of Guede and Serna to the extreme, and while Alianza Lima are strong favourites, backing the hosts to win doesn’t seem like the right approach. Instead, our Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua prediction is to go for over 2.5 goals in this matchup, as Alianza Lima will look to break down Moquegua’s defence and Moquegua will try to capitalise on Alianza’s overrunning. Moquegua may struggle to find the net, however, as they’ve found goals hard to come by on the road in the Liga 1 - Apertura. Meanwhile, Alianza are in fine form, having won each of their last 3 matches on the bounce, most recently, an 8-0 blowout of Cusco FC. For those seeking Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua betting tips, pay close attention to Alianza’s offensive firepower and Moquegua’s defensive posture. Back-to-back away wins followed that result.
Alianza Lima are the alpha dogs
We don’t think Alianza Lima will be in any danger of losing this game, however, as UCV Moquegua have lost 4 of their 6 away games in the Liga 1 - Apertura. Moquegua’s frontline has been uninspiring so far, with Edgar Lastre’s 4 goals the highest tally for the visiting team. Lastre has scored 3 of those 4 in his last 5 appearances, however, and is a decent option in the anytime scorer market. Alianza Lima’s main attacking weapon has been Eryc Castillo, who has scored 7 goals in 11 appearances in the Liga 1 - Apertura, 7 of Alianza Lima’s last 12 goals, and is a great choice in the same market. The Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua prediction remains the same: Alianza Lima’s perfect home record and UCV’s away record make the match result a formality, but the goal markets are a little more interesting, with the Over 2.5 goals option coming in at a reasonable price and Both Teams to Score - No at 1.45.

Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.16
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Alianza Lima
    Won
    Explanation
    • Alianza Lima has won 9 matches this season, including 5 home wins, showing strong home form.
    • At home in Liga 1 - Apertura, Alianza Lima averages 3.2 goals scored per match (16 goals total).
    • UCV Moquegua scores only 0.5 goals away and has conceded 11 on the road, so they struggle away.
  • Tipped at
    1.63
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • At home in Liga 1 - Apertura, Alianza Lima's matches average 3.6 total goals, favoring over 2.5.
    • UCV Moquegua's away fixtures average 2.33 total goals this campaign, adding to goal likelihood.
    • In their last 5 matches across competitions Alianza Lima scored 12 goals, including an 8-0 win, showing scoring power.
  • Tipped at
    1.45
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • In Liga 1 - Apertura Alianza Lima has conceded just 2 goals at home (0.4 per match), often keeping clean sheets.
    • UCV Moquegua scores only 0.5 goals per away game while conceding 1.83 on the road this season, limiting scoring chances.
    • Across Alianza Lima's league matches, both teams have scored in only 33.33% of games, so no is likelier.

Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua Live Stats

Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua Live Stats

There is no data available for your selection
Alianza Lima logo

Last 1 H2H matches

  • 1
    Won
  • 0
    Draw
  • 0
    Won
UCV Moquegua logo

Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua Last Matches

  • May 02 2026
    Liga 1 - Apertura
    UCV Moquegua logo
    Alianza Lima
    2
    UCV Moquegua logo
    UCV Moquegua
    1

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Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
1
Team Logo Alianza Lima
30 17
14
Team Logo UCV Moquegua
17 17

Player Statistics

Name
Eryc Castillo
9 4 1 1 16 1299
Renzo Garces
5 0 6 0 15 1333
Jose Paolo Guerrero
4 0 2 0 13 915
Jairo Velez
3 4 0 0 16 1363
Fernando Gaibor
2 1 1 0 12 713

Liga 1 - Apertura Standings

1
The Alianza Lima logo
Alianza Lima
17 12 4 1 30:8 40
14
The UCV Moquegua logo
UCV Moquegua
17 5 3 9 17:24 18
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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